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Post 220

Thursday, December 6, 2007 - 6:58amSanction this postReply
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What do these recent posts have to do with rights? :-)

Bill Dwyer:

You weren't born with ideas about God, infinity or logic. You acquired these through experience.
Sherman Broder replied:
More doublespeak. I know how I, personally, acquired these ideas: from elementary school teachers. However, epistemologically speaking, how did man first acquire these ideas?
The answer is imagination. Ayn Rand described it like this: "[M]an's imagination is nothing more than the ability to rearrange the things he has observed in reality." - The Metaphysical Versus The Man-Made.

David Hume described it like this: "But though our thought seems to possess this unbounded liberty, we shall find, upon a nearer examination, that it is really confined within very narrow limits, and that all this creative power of the mind amounts to no more than the faculty of compounding, transposing, augmenting, or diminishing the materials afforded us by the senses and experience." -  An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding Section II: of the Origin of Ideas

Hume elaborated: "Nothing, at first view, may seem more unbounded than the thought of man, which not only escapes all human power and authority, but is not even restrained within the limits of nature and reality. To form monsters, and join incongruous shapes and appearances, costs the imagination no more trouble than to conceive the most natural and familiar objects." (ibid.)

Imagination can be used in many ways, both good and bad. Without it, there would be no fiction, productive inventions such as airplanes and computers, scientific discovery, or planning.


Post 221

Friday, December 7, 2007 - 4:12amSanction this postReply
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Look, when I said that you don't have to experience something in order to have an idea of it, I was referring to something like a golden mountain. I haven't seen a golden mountain, but I nevertheless have an idea of it. Instead of jumping on my statements, taking the worst possible interpretation of them and then pouncing with glee on what you think is fallacy, why not make an effort to understand what I'm saying?!
In other words, why not agree with you? I think the devil is in the details. When you make a nebulous, generalized assertion ("I'm not saying that you have to experience something in order to have an idea of it. I'm saying that all knowledge and all ideas are based on experience."), I'm going to call you on it, especially if in my opinion it is senseless.
Well, if the idea of God is a supernatural consciousness, which does not require a body in order to exist, then doesn't that imply a consciousness without a body? You say that a supernatural consciousness does not require a body in order to exist. Then how does it perceive reality without sense organs, or think without a brain or do anything else that bodies are required for? You say that it can do these things because it's a supernatural being. What do you mean by a "supernatural" being? One that is above the laws of nature? By that definition, a supernatural being is impossible, because it would violate the principles of identity and causality.
Obviously, the concept "supernatural" exists in the minds of billions of people the world over. Whether or not this concept has a referent in reality is another question I neither have the time nor inclination to pursue here. However, this particular question occasions another which is of utmost importance. 
 
The human mind can conceive of any number of concepts and theories about reality which have no immediate or apparent or obvious connection to reality as we know it. The critical question is: How do we know? How do we go about determining whether an idea in a man’s head has a corresponding existence in reality? Many concepts seem divorced from reality when they are first conceived, but later we learn they are not unrealistic. The theory of Copernicus that the earth revolves around the sun is one. The ancient idea that the earth was flat is another. Non-euclidean geometry is another. Einstein’s theory of relativity is another. String theory is another. The theory of germs and viruses is still another.
 
One can't persuasively assert that such theories are self-evidently true or false, or that they obviously violate the laws of nature, or the laws of identity or of causality. How, specifically, should these ideas be examined in order to know they violate such laws? Indeed, how do we acquire a certain knowledge that such laws are inexorably firm and fast over time? Do we rely on the inductive scientific method? Is theory verified by observing that particular referents in reality comport to it? Or can theory only be falsified by inductive research? Can pure reasoning confirm or falsify theory? Reasoning from what? A philosophical assumption? A self-evident truth? How?!!!!! What specific rational/scientific tools does an Objectivist like yourself use to gain the certain knowledge of reality which you undoubtedly profess to have?
 
These are general, epistemological questions that require answers. If we can't agree on the answers, then it is fruitless to continue our discussion.
 
In Post #220 Mr. Jetton asked what our discussion has to do with rights. We have gotten side-tracked and perhaps the epistemological questions I've asked above should be discussed in another thread. However, I believe these questions have a direct bearing on the question of rights as well. After all, the theory of rights must be examined in light of these epistemological questions as well. How can we be certain that the theory of rights has a referent in reality? How can we be certain it is not akin to the theory that the earth is flat? 
 
Whether in this thread or another I'd appreciate your answers to the general epistemological questions I've asked three paragraphs above, if for no other reason but my own information.
 
Regards,
Sherman



Post 222

Friday, December 7, 2007 - 4:25amSanction this postReply
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Mr. Jetton,

You wrote:
What do these recent posts have to do with rights? :-)
Point well-taken. :)

So is your point about imagination. Of course it begs the question. If man can imagine all sorts of concepts, good and bad, true and false, real or unreal, how do we know which ideas are true, which false, which good, which bad, which real, which unreal?

See my Post #221.

Regards,
Sherman


Post 223

Friday, December 7, 2007 - 10:40amSanction this postReply
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Sherman,

In Post 219, I wrote, "According to Objectivism, man is born tabula rasa -- as a blank tablet. That doesn't mean that one isn't born with certain innate capacities, only that one isn't born with preformed ideas."

You responded sarcastically, "Evasion. Obviously, man isn't born with "preformed ideas" of God, infinity or logic. The question is how does man acquire such ideas, epistemologically speaking?"

In an effort to answer your question, I had replied, "the idea of God is that of a pure, disembodied consciousness. One acquires one's knowledge of consciousness introspectively, through direct experience, but the idea of a disembodied consciousness is a non-sequitur -- an error in logic -- because consciousness requires a body -- it requires sense organs, a brain and a nervous system -- in order to exist and function."

You replied, "Red herring. The idea of God is not necessarily that of a "disembodied consciousness." The idea of God is commonly that of a supernatural consciousness. A supernatural being does not require a body in order to exist and function.

To which I replied, "Well, if the idea of God is a supernatural consciousness, which does not require a body in order to exist, then doesn't that imply a consciousness without a body? You say that a supernatural consciousness does not require a body in order to exist. Then how does it perceive reality without sense organs, or think without a brain or do anything else that bodies are required for? You say that it can do these things because it's a supernatural being. What do you mean by a "supernatural" being? One that is above the laws of nature? By that definition, a supernatural being is impossible, because it would violate the principles of identity and causality."

You responded,
Obviously, the concept "supernatural" exists in the minds of billions of people the world over. Whether or not this concept has a referent in reality is another question I neither have the time nor inclination to pursue here.
But you were the one who introduced the concept of the supernatural in the first place, by arguing that a supernatural being does not require a body in order to exist and function. Then, when I ask you what you mean by a "supernatural being" -- one that is above the laws of nature? -- you reply that you have neither the time nor the inclination to pursue the question. And you're accusing ME of evasion?! Come on, Sherman; you're not arguing in good faith here! If you have neither the time nor the inclination to answer that question, then I have neither the time nor the inclination to continue our discussion! If you refuse to answer my question in response to the very point you yourself raised, then you cannot expect me to answer yours.

- Bill



Post 224

Friday, December 7, 2007 - 12:39pmSanction this postReply
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Bill,

I think the history goes back a bit further. In Post #214 you wrote:
Now you quote Mises who says that reasoning is necessarily always deductive. To be sure, the premise of uniformity or regularity is a presupposition of induction, but that doesn't mean that reasoning is always deductive (i.e., never inductive, unless Mises simply means that induction always incorporates an element of deduction by inferring that like causes beget like effects). Obviously, Newton did not arrive at the law of gravity solely by a process of deduction. He generalized from observed particulars. Yes, regularity (i.e., the law of identity) is an underlying premise of induction. One has to include the premise that the same thing will act the same way under the same conditions, in order to reason inductively. But it is only by observing reality that one can arrive at the law of identity -- at the principle that a thing is what it is. All knowledge is ultimately empirical -- i.e., based on perceptual observation. There are no innate ideas -- no ideas that exist prior to any experience.

This response interested me greatly on an epistemological level. I responded in Post #215:
You are an empiricist then? What about the idea of God or a supernatural being? Or the idea of "infinity?" Or the principles of logic itself? Have you experienced God? Or infinity? Or a contradiction?
Forgive the misunderstanding, but I was using "God," "infinity" and "logic" as examples of non-empirical knowledge. I wasn't trying to draw you into a discussion on the validity of these concepts. I was clumsily trying to press you for an epistemological explanation of them as conceptual knowledge, i.e., you clearly think all knowledge is empirical. The concepts of "supernatural," "infinity," and "logic" are conceptual. They have no concrete referents in reality that can be observed empirically.

You answered in Post #216:
I'm not saying that you have to experience something in order to have an idea of it. I'm saying that all knowledge and all ideas are based on experience. You weren't born with ideas about God, infinity or logic. You acquired these through experience. According to Objectivism, man is born tabula rasa -- as a blank tablet. That doesn't mean that one isn't born with certain innate capacities, only that one isn't born with preformed ideas.
In my honest opinion the first sentence is tautological. There is no meaningful distinction between knowledge which is gained by experience and knowledge which is based on experience. The rest of your response is an assertion: "You weren't born with ideas about God, infinity or logic. You acquired these through experience."

In Post #218 I again pressed you for an epistemological explanation: "However, epistemologically speaking, how did man first acquire these ideas?" and "The question is how does man acquire such ideas, epistemologically speaking?"

In Post #219 you responded: "But why are you asking this kind of question? What is the point that you're trying to make here? If you agree that man wasn't born with these concepts, then wouldn't you agree that he acquired them by generalizing from his experience?"

The essence of my Post #221 is:
The human mind can conceive of any number of concepts and theories about reality which have no immediate or apparent or obvious connection to reality as we know it. The critical question is: How do we know? How do we go about determining whether an idea in a man’s head has a corresponding existence in reality? Many concepts seem divorced from reality when they are first conceived, but later we learn they are not unrealistic. The theory of Copernicus that the earth revolves around the sun is one. The ancient idea that the earth was flat is another. Non-euclidean geometry is another. Einstein’s theory of relativity is another. String theory is another. The theory of germs and viruses is still another.
 
One can't persuasively assert that such theories are self-evidently true or false, or that they obviously violate the laws of nature, or the laws of identity or of causality. How, specifically, should these ideas be examined in order to know they violate such laws? Indeed, how do we acquire a certain knowledge that such laws are inexorably firm and fast over time? Do we rely on the inductive scientific method? Is theory verified by observing that particular referents in reality comport to it? Or can theory only be falsified by inductive research? Can pure reasoning confirm or falsify theory? Reasoning from what? A philosophical assumption? A self-evident truth? How?!!!!! What specific rational/scientific tools does an Objectivist like yourself use to gain the certain knowledge of reality which you undoubtedly profess to have?

This cuts to the heart of my epistemological concerns.

I apologize if my posts seemed sarcastic or were disjointed or hard to follow. I've already admitted that I'm uncomfortable with this format of tearing a person's remarks apart line-by-line. Now, if the price of getting an answer from you with regard to my epistemological concerns is supplying you with answers to your questions with regard to God and the supernatural, I'll be happy to oblige, although I honestly don't see the point of it.

You wrote:
Well, if the idea of God is a supernatural consciousness, which does not require a body in order to exist, then doesn't that imply a consciousness without a body?
Yes.
You say that a supernatural consciousness does not require a body in order to exist. Then how does it perceive reality without sense organs, or think without a brain or do anything else that bodies are required for?
Bodies are required for such things in the natural, physical world. I can imagine a supernatural being who exists outside of the natural, physical world (hence the term "supernatural") who is pure consciousness, who communicates and senses its dimension of reality and ours by means of a power or energy unknown in our natural world (or not yet discovered). Some physicists have theorized about a dimension of reality that exists distinct from our, yet intersected with it.
You say that it can do these things because it's a supernatural being. What do you mean by a "supernatural" being?
As I just stated, by a "supernatural" being I mean a being (or pure consciousness) who is able to comfortably function in a dimension of reality beyond our space and time, a dimension of reality different from the dimension we experience but able to intersect it.
One that is above the laws of nature?
One who occupies a dimension of reality distinct from ours. One who is subject to the laws of it's dimension of reality but not necessarily subject to the laws of our dimension of reality.
By that definition, a supernatural being is impossible, because it would violate the principles of identity and causality. 
Not so. As I've described my conceptual theory of the supernatural operating in a distinct dimension of reality, the principles of identity and causality (as I understand them) remain unviolated.

These answers are my good faith effort to respond to your questions with regard to the supernatural. I hope you see fit to answer my epistemological questions in the same spirit.

Regards,
Sherman 


Post 225

Saturday, December 8, 2007 - 1:21amSanction this postReply
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Sherman, you wrote,
Forgive the misunderstanding, but I was using "God," "infinity" and "logic" as examples of non-empirical knowledge. I wasn't trying to draw you into a discussion on the validity of these concepts. I was clumsily trying to press you for an epistemological explanation of them as conceptual knowledge, i.e., you clearly think all knowledge is empirical. The concepts of "supernatural," "infinity," and "logic" are conceptual. They have no concrete referents in reality that can be observed empirically.
You say, "The concepts "supernatural," "infinity," and "logic" are conceptual. But all concepts are conceptual. Evidently, you meant to say that knowledge of the supernatural, of infinity and of logic is conceptual in the sense of having no concrete referents that can be directly observed.

First of all, I would dispute the idea that a belief in the supernatural constitutes knowledge. We do, of course, have knowledge of infinity and of logic. Can one observe infinity empirically? Not directly as one would a physical object, because mathematically, it refers to the absence of any limit on the potential to extend a given size or quantity. But the concepts required for an understanding of infinity were arrived at by observing reality, i.e., by observing concrete instances of quantity, extension and limits.

Non-mathematical infinity -- viz., an actually existing infinity -- is not a valid concept, because it means something not limited by anything -- not having any definite identity.

Logic, as I said, is a concept arrived at by observing that every existent is what it is and not something else. To be sure, mathematical infinity and logic are abstractions from abstractions, but all abstractions are ultimately based on an observation of concrete reality.

Higher level abstractions are based on lower level ones, with the lowest level abstractions based on perceptual concretes. There is nothing else from which to form abstractions. So all knowledge is ultimately based on the evidence of the senses. Consider the concept 'chair,' which refers to every chair, past, present and future. A chair is a perceptual object, but the concept 'chair' is not a perceptual object; it is a mental integration of two or more chairs which, despite their individual differences, have the same distinguishing characteristics within the wider classification of 'furniture.' The same is true of the concept 'table.'

But whereas the concepts 'chair' and 'table' are abstractions that subsume individual chairs and tables, the concept 'furniture' is an abstraction that subsumes the concepts 'chair' and 'table.' 'Furniture' is a classification of particular kinds of furniture, of which the concepts 'chair' and 'table' are particular units, just as individual chairs and tables are units of the concepts 'chair' and 'table'. And the concept 'furniture' is itself a unit of the wider concept 'household objects,' which subsumes other units such as art work, appliances and electronic equipment. But however far one goes up the conceptual ladder, the structure of knowledge must always rest firmly on the ground of concrete reality.
The human mind can conceive of any number of concepts and theories about reality which have no immediate or apparent or obvious connection to reality as we know it. The critical question is: How do we know? How do we go about determining whether an idea in a man’s head has a corresponding existence in reality?
You need empirical evidence.
Many concepts seem divorced from reality when they are first conceived, but later we learn they are not unrealistic.
Exactly. We later learn that they are true. How do we learn it? By observation and inference.
The theory of Copernicus that the earth revolves around the sun is one.
Right, and how did we discover that the earth revolves around the sun? By the science of astronomy, which involves perceptual evidence and rational calculations based on that evidence.
The ancient idea that the earth was flat is another. Non-euclidean geometry is another. Einstein’s theory of relativity is another. String theory is another. The theory of germs and viruses is still another.
I'm not sure what you're point is. Are you playing the skeptic and saying that we can never be sure that we've actually arrived at the truth, because we've been wrong in the past?
One can't persuasively assert that such theories are self-evidently true or false, or that they obviously violate the laws of nature, or the laws of identity or of causality.
Well, the theory that the earth is flat is false. I don't know what you mean by "SELF-evidently" false. We do have conclusive evidence that the earth is round. Are you disputing this?
How, specifically, should these ideas be examined in order to know they violate such laws?
The claim that the earth is flat violates the law of identity, because it contradicts the fact that the earth is round. We know that the earth is round, because we have incontrovertible evidence to support that conclusion.
Indeed, how do we acquire a certain knowledge that such laws are inexorably firm and fast over time?
The law of causality is a corollary of the law of identity, which cannot be denied without self-contradiction. The law of causality states that a thing must act according to its nature -- according to the kind of thing it is -- that in order to act differently (under the same conditions) it must be something different.
Do we rely on the inductive scientific method?
Yes.
Is theory verified by observing that particular referents in reality comport to it?
That depends on what you mean by "comport to it." If you mean consistent with it, then no. If every swan I observe is white, that is consistent with the theory that all swans are white, but it doesn't verify the theory for obvious reasons. But if by "comport to it," you mean confirm it, then the only way one could verify the theory that all swans are white is to observe every swan and find none that isn't white. If one cannot be sure that one has observed every swan, then there is no way to verify that theory that all swans are white. However, one can certainly falsify it, by observing a swan that isn't white.
Or can theory only be falsified by inductive research?
Theories can be falsified by inductive research, but theories can also be verified by inductive research. For example, the theory that (non-amorphous) ice floats in water can be verified by observing that the structure of ice takes up more volume than water molecules and therefore is less dense than water.
Can pure reasoning confirm or falsify theory?
You mean reasoning not based on perceptual evidence? Well, if a theory is self-contradictory, then that by itself would falsify the theory, independently of any perceptual evidence contradicting it.
Reasoning from what? A philosophical assumption? A self-evident truth? How?!!!!! What specific rational/scientific tools does an Objectivist like yourself use to gain the certain knowledge of reality which you undoubtedly profess to have?
Again, all knowledge is based ultimately on that which is evident to direct sensory awareness, since there can be no valid concepts that do not have a base in perceptual observation. So knowledge is both empirical and rational, since it is gained by the application of reason to the evidence of the senses.

I wrote, "Well, if the idea of God is a supernatural consciousness, which does not require a body in order to exist, then doesn't that imply a consciousness without a body?" You answered, "Yes." I continued: "You say that a supernatural consciousness does not require a body in order to exist. Then how does it perceive reality without sense organs, or think without a brain or do anything else that bodies are required for?" You replied,
Bodies are required for such things in the natural, physical world. I can imagine a supernatural being who exists outside of the natural, physical world (hence the term "supernatural") who is pure consciousness, who communicates and senses its dimension of reality and ours by means of a power or energy unknown in our natural world (or not yet discovered).
No, you can't, because in order to "imagine" such a consciousness, you would have to imagine it in terms of the concepts acquired from observing the natural world. What, for example, is meant by "consciousness"? A consciousness is a faculty of awareness possessed by living organisms which requires both a means and a form of awareness. In order to be conscious, an organism must be conscious in a particular sensory form -- visually, auditorially, tactilely, etc -- a form that is determined by the nature its sense organs. A consciousness with no sense organs could have no form of awareness, and therefore could not be conscious of the external world. Nor could a consciousness think or remember without an organ of cognition -- a brain -- which determines the manner in which it stores and processes sensory information.
Some physicists have theorized about a dimension of reality that exists distinct from our, yet intersected with it.
They can theorize all they want, but they need to provide convincing evidence for their theory if they expect to be taken seriously.

- Bill



Post 226

Saturday, December 8, 2007 - 10:18amSanction this postReply
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Bill,
 
You and I are in near perfect agreement with regard to how man gains knowledge of the physical world. I will, therefore, concentrate on our points of disagreements and points where our understandings diverge.
 
You say,"The concepts "supernatural," "infinity," and "logic" are conceptual.
But all concepts are conceptual. Evidently, you meant to say that knowledge of the supernatural, of infinity and of logic is conceptual in the sense of having no concrete referents that can be directly observed.
Sorry for my gaffe. Chalk it up to carelessness. You did pick up my obvious meaning, however. The three concepts mentioned, in fact, have no referents in reality.
 
Let’s dismiss the concept of "supernatural" not because it is not knowledge, but because it is a theory about the physical universe in which we live, a theory about which we have very slim empirical evidence. You imply that knowledge is not valid unless it is certain. I don’t agree. Man operates easily in everyday life using knowledge that is not certain.
 
Example for clarification of my meaning: He knows aspirin will relieve a headache but doesn’t know exactly why it works.
 
Your description of how we gain knowledge of the physical universe is basically correct, however the concepts "infinity" and "logic" are not strictly theories of the physical universe per se. One cannot gather empirical evidence by means of the scientific method to confirm or falsify them.
 

Can one observe infinity empirically? Not directly as one would a physical object, because mathematically, it refers to the absence of any limit on the potential to extend a given size or quantity. But the concepts required for an understanding of infinity were arrived at by observing reality, i.e., by observing concrete instances of quantity, extension and limits.

I don’t think you’ve thought this through clearly. Are you suggesting that man could not have knowledge of "infinity" prior to its use as a mathematical concept? Early man could gaze at the night sky or at the distant horizon and observe an endlessness that he could conceptualize as "infinity." Mathematics only clarified man’s knowledge of the concept infinity.
 
Furthermore, what do you mean by "concrete instances?" How do you observe concrete instances of "quantity, extension and limits?" If I observe three ducks, three cars, three trees and three fingers, am I observing the quantity three? I think not. The concept "quantity" (as well as the concepts "extension" and "limits") cannot be observed. It is a product of something else.
Logic, as I said, is a concept arrived at by observing that every existent is what it is and not something else.
But you see, you haven’t observed a concrete instance of logic. You’ve "arrived at" the concept of logic by using logic ("every existent is what it is and not something else"). When man observes a duck, a car, a tree and a finger, he does not observe the law of identity. He reasons that there are existents of duck, car, tree and finger. He assumes every "existent is what it is." From this premise he reasons that there is a law of identity.
To be sure, mathematical infinity and logic are abstractions from abstractions, but all abstractions are ultimately based on an observation of concrete reality.
But I’ve just shown that this is not true. Mathematics and logic have no concrete referents in reality that can be empirically observed. They are products of human reasoning. Yes, the premises upon which they are based may have been inspired by concrete objects, but these premises were certainly not observed.
 
I would go so far as to say that mathematics and logic are not only products of human reasoning, they are products of the logical structure of the human mind which exists prior to human observation of the physical world. A man can imagine the concept of mathematical infinity but not actual infinity because the logical structure of the human mind won’t allow him to imagine actual infinity, just as a man’s mind can’t comprehend a world in which the law of identity does not apply. I can imagine a world in which all sorts of strange phenomena exist, but I cannot imagine a world in which opposites can be identical, in which up is down, or right is left, or a chair is a table, or two is three, or yes is no. Can you?
 
The knowledge that A is A is not gained by man observing reality. The knowledge that A is A is not knowledge at all, but an immutable fact of man’s very nature, an undeniable result of the way man’s brain is wired.
Higher level abstractions are based on lower level ones, with the lowest level abstractions based on perceptual concretes. There is nothing else from which to form abstractions. So all knowledge is ultimately based on the evidence of the senses. Consider the concept 'chair,' which refers to every chair, past, present and future. A chair is a perceptual object, but the concept 'chair' is not a perceptual object; it is a mental integration of two or more chairs which, despite their individual differences, have the same distinguishing characteristics within the wider classification of 'furniture.' The same is true of the concept 'table.'

But whereas the concepts 'chair' and 'table' are abstractions that subsume individual chairs and tables, the concept 'furniture' is an abstraction that subsumes the concepts 'chair' and 'table.' 'Furniture' is a classification of particular kinds of furniture, of which the concepts 'chair' and 'table' are particular units, just as individual chairs and tables are units of the concepts 'chair' and 'table'. And the concept 'furniture' is itself a unit of the wider concept 'household objects,' which subsumes other units such as art work, appliances and electronic equipment. But however far one goes up the conceptual ladder, the structure of knowledge must always rest firmly on the ground of concrete reality.

If all this is true, certainly you could name the "perceptual concrete" which is the lowest rung on the "conceptual ladder" with regard to mathematics and logic, i.e., the perceptual concretes on which mathematics and logic are based respectively.
 
As I mentioned, your explanations of how we use the scientific method to falsify our theories about our physical universe is accurate, so there is no reason for me to rehash it. However, I do take exception to one thing you said:
Theories can be falsified by inductive research, but theories can also be verified by inductive research. For example, the theory that (non-amorphous) ice floats in water can be verified by observing that the structure of ice takes up more volume than water molecules and therefore is less dense than water.
 
Theories about the physical universe cannot by verified by inductive research…ever! You can’t have it both ways and say that sometimes they can. The observation that "ice floats in water" is not "inductive research." It is an observation that "ice" and "water" are two different things, two different concepts, two different existents. Now, one may theorize that ice does not float on water, but such a theory is easily falsified by a single experiment. One might also theorize that ice floats on water and spend the next hundred years trying to falsify such a theory, but to what avail? It would be like trying to falsify by means of inductive research a theory that says a table is a chair.
 
I wrote:
I can imagine a supernatural being who exists outside of the natural, physical world (hence the term "supernatural") who is pure consciousness, who communicates and senses its dimension of reality and ours by means of a power or energy unknown in our natural world (or not yet discovered).
You wrote:
No, you can't, because in order to "imagine" such a consciousness, you would have to imagine it in terms of the concepts acquired from observing the natural world.

I beg to differ with you. Not only did I imagine such a consciousness, I also conceptualized that imagined consciousness and communicated it to you in a way that you understood it. (I confess to stealing that concept from an episode of Star Trek in which such a consciousness was depicted, but that is neither here nor there.)
 
Are you so concrete-bound you can’t imagine anything which conflicts with your observations of our natural world? How is my imagined concept of a supernatural consciousness distinct from your concept of a "golden mountain," which you were able to easily imagine just a few posts ago?
 
Now on to another type of human knowledge. Up till now we’ve been discussing man’s knowledge of our physical universe. We agree that man forms concepts and theorizes about the physical world. These theories can be falsified by inductive research of the empirical evidence. Indeed, you would say that inductive research of the empirical evidence is the only way we can gain knowledge of our physical world. I basically agree with one slight exception. We both assume that there is a regularity in the universe which allows our inductive research to bear fruit, i.e., the laws of physics are constant and unchanging from one observation to the next.
 
However, there is another realm of reality of which man seeks knowledge and in which there is no predictable regularity to allow inductive research to bear fruit: human action.
Surely you would agree that men are not like rocks or mice. Although man’s physical body is subject to the immutable laws of physics, his actions though constrained by such laws are not determined by them. Thus, remembering our discussion about inductive research of empirical evidence in the physical world, the methods used by the natural sciences to falsify theory and gain knowledge could not possibly apply in the realm of human action because there is no regularity in the realm of human action.
 
For example, if I theorize that human beings will always run away from fire, such a theory could be easily falsified by a single instance of a human being running toward a fire, viz., a firefighter. If I theorize that human beings will always buy low and sell high, such a theory is easily falsified by observation of my wife. Etc. Etc.
 
All theories of human behavior can be falsified and thus proved untrue if subjected to the means of inductive research employed by the natural sciences: physics, biology, etc.
 
So if the means of the physical sciences are inadequate for man to gain knowledge of human action, what means are available? I answer, and Mises answers, analytical, deductive reasoning from a self-evidently true premise such as: man acts with purpose. Man can no more imagine himself acting without purpose than he can imagine opposites being identical. Purpose is the reason man’s behavior is not a slave to instinct or genetic "programming." Man does things for a reason. He does things on purpose. To deny this is to deny man’s very nature.
 
So, to make a long story short, economics is the analytical, deductive science of human action. Now I know that some economists practice their science by using the methods of the natural sciences. They theorize and predict how man will behave in certain circumstances and use inductive research of economic data attempting to verify their theories. We know such research cannot verify their theories and that a single instance of contrariness can falsify them, but they persist nevertheless. They use mathematical statistics to theorize and predict how most men will probably act under conditions that are similar to conditions as they existed before. But this method is bogus. The physical sciences would be lost if they applied the same methods to the subjects of their research.
 
An example: An economist theorizes that minimum wage laws cause unemployment. He conducts economic "research" in the real world and discovers that, when a government passes a minimum wage law, some communities experience higher unemployment, some communities experience lower unemployment and some communities experience no difference in the employment rate at all. [I've seen examples in real life of these types of research.] His only conclusion can be, based on his inductive research, that minimum wage laws do not necessarily cause unemployment.
 
Of course, the flaw is not in the economist’s reasoning, but in his method. Economic "data" is nothing more than historical records of how certain men acted in the past when conditions were necessarily different. Nor is the economist able to isolate variables which would allow him to determine from the data results which are solely due to the establishment of a minimum wage. Nor can the economist know if the unemployment data he studies before the passage of a minimum wage law is at, below or above the market rate for particular industries within the community he studies. In short, his methods are bogus and cannot be saved by any amount of tampering with the data or by any new means of more precise analysis, viz., the computer.
 
So how do we gain economic knowledge of man’s actions in a world in which man’s actions are inexorably a jumble? By pure, analytical, deductive reasoning from a self-evident premise. An analytical, deductive economist doesn’t use economic data to verify or falsify his theories. He puts his theories to the test of logic. A deductive economist can easily control the variables in his theorizing by making use of the concept "ceteris paribus," all else being unchanged. His pure reasoning tells the deductive economist that, ceteris paribus, mandating the price of labor above the market rate which would otherwise prevail always decreases the supply of jobs. Mandating the price of labor below the market rate always increases the supply of jobs. Mandating the price of labor at the market rate neither decreases or increases the supply of jobs.
 
You might be uncomfortable with the analytical, deductive method of economics but the knowledge it produces is certain as opposed to the uncertainty produced by the inductive econometricians. Moreover, this certain deductive knowledge cannot be disproved by empirical inductive research to the contrary. This is usually a harder pill to swallow for the empiricist, but it is true nevertheless. There simply exists no other, satisfactory method of gaining knowledge about human behavior. If you can imagine one, I’d be interested in hearing about it.
 
Regards,
Sherman
















Post 227

Monday, December 10, 2007 - 12:38amSanction this postReply
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Sherman, you wrote,
You imply that knowledge is not valid unless it is certain. I don’t agree. Man operates easily in everyday life using knowledge that is not certain.
I do hold that knowledge is not valid (isn't knowledge) unless it is certain, but I wasn't aware that I implied this in anything I said. In any case, if a conclusion isn't certain, then it's not knowledge. For example, if I’m not certain that it’s going to rain tomorrow, do I know that it’s going to rain tomorrow. If I’m not certain of your age, do I know how old you are? No and no. A conclusion that constitutes knowledge must of necessity be a conclusion of which one is certain. What about probabilities? As I approach the next intersection, do I know that all traffic will stop when the light turns red? No; someone may run the red light. What I do know is that it is highly probable that all traffic will stop. And because I know this, my conclusion that it is highly probable that all traffic will stop is certain.
Example for clarification of my meaning: He knows aspirin will relieve a headache but doesn’t know exactly why it works.
So, he’s certain that it will relieve a headache, but he’s not certain how or why it works. This does not contradict the view that a conclusion which constitutes knowledge is certain.
Your description of how we gain knowledge of the physical universe is basically correct, however the concepts "infinity" and "logic" are not strictly theories of the physical universe per se. One cannot gather empirical evidence by means of the scientific method to confirm or falsify them.
Yes, one can. One can refer perceptually to those aspects of reality from which one acquires the concepts of “infinity” and “logic.” Without a direct perception of reality, one could not grasp these concepts.

I wrote, “Can one observe infinity empirically? Not directly as one would a physical object, because mathematically, it refers to the absence of any limit on the potential to extend a given size or quantity. But the concepts required for an understanding of infinity were arrived at by observing reality, i.e., by observing concrete instances of quantity, extension and limits.
I don’t think you’ve thought this through clearly. Are you suggesting that man could not have knowledge of "infinity" prior to its use as a mathematical concept?
I’m saying that there is no such thing as actual infinity. The only valid concept of “infinity” is the one pertaining to the potential for extending a given size or quantity.
Early man could gaze at the night sky or at the distant horizon and observe an endlessness that he could conceptualize as "infinity."
Aren’t you contradicting yourself when you say that early man could gaze at the night sky or at the distant horizon and observe an endlessness? If he can observe endlessness by gazing at the night sky, then, contrary to your earlier statement, endlessness or infinity is empirically arrived at. But is this true? Can one observe endlessness or infinity? The answer is, no.

To observe an object is to observe it in relation to that from which it is distinguished, i.e., to observe its limits. In gazing at the night sky, one observes celestial bodies, aircraft and weather balloons. The surrounding blackness is simply the absence of any discernible objects; it is not itself an object.

It is true that in observing that the horizon continues to advance as one moves along the earth's surface, one is observing the extension of a limit, an observation which could have given rise to the mathematical idea of a limit's being extended indefinitely. But the mathematical concept of infinity is valid only insofar as it refers to the potential for a process of extension or addition that does not have a limit beyond which it cannot take place. One can, in principle, always add another unit or degree to any given quantity. One can always count further than one has already counted. But however far one counts, the number to which one has counted will be finite. Infinity can never be actualized, because an infinite quantity is a contradiction in terms. A quantity, by definition, is some specific number, but an infinite quantity is no specific number.
Furthermore, what do you mean by "concrete instances?" How do you observe concrete instances of "quantity, extension and limits?" If I observe three ducks, three cars, three trees and three fingers, am I observing the quantity three? I think not.
Not as an abstraction, but you are observing four different groups of three objects and can see that each group has the same number of objects. To arrive at the abstract quantity “three” from that observation, however, you must mentally isolate the quantity that the four groups of objects share, ignoring their differences and focusing only on their quantitative similarity.
The concept "quantity" (as well as the concepts "extension" and "limits") cannot be observed. It is a product of something else.
The concept “quantity” cannot be observed. What can be observed are objects of a certain quantity. The concept “extension” cannot be observed; what can be observed are objects of a certain size and dimension. The concept “limit” cannot be observed. What can be observed are objects with limits.

I wrote, “Logic, as I said, is a concept arrived at by observing that every existent is what it is and not something else.”
But you see, you haven’t observed a concrete instance of logic. You’ve "arrived at" the concept of logic by using logic ("every existent is what it is and not something else"). When man observes a duck, a car, a tree and a finger, he does not observe the law of identity. He reasons that there are existents of duck, car, tree and finger. He assumes every "existent is what it is." From this premise he reasons that there is a law of identity.
True, he doesn’t observe the law of identity; he observes and identifies particular existents, from which he then grasps the law of identity through a process of abstraction. He doesn’t ”assume” that every existent is what it is; he sees that every existent is something in particular, and from that perceptual awareness, he is able to form the concept of identity.

I wrote, “To be sure, mathematical infinity and logic are abstractions from abstractions, but all abstractions are ultimately based on an observation of concrete reality.”
But I’ve just shown that this is not true. Mathematics and logic have no concrete referents in reality that can be empirically observed.
Yes, they do. The concept “three” refers to every group of three objects – just as the concept “man” refers to every human being. Similarly, the law of “identity” has as its referent the identity of each and every existent.
They are products of human reasoning.
The law of identity is recognized by means of human reason, but exists independently of it – just as the law of gravity is recognized by means of human reason, but exists independently of it. Logic is ontological, because identity is existential.
Yes, the premises upon which they are based may have been inspired by concrete objects, but these premises were certainly not observed.
What premises are those?
I would go so far as to say that mathematics and logic are not only products of human reasoning, they are products of the logical structure of the human mind which exists prior to human observation of the physical world. A man can imagine the concept of mathematical infinity but not actual infinity because the logical structure of the human mind won’t allow him to imagine actual infinity, just as a man’s mind can’t comprehend a world in which the law of identity does not apply.
I don’t know what you mean by “logical structure of the human mind.” The human mind is simply aware of existence as it is; there is no innate "logical structure" filtering that awareness. Such an idea would imply that one’s awareness is colored by the mind's logical structure and is therefore not a direct, unbiased recognition of reality. It would imply that one is not observing the world as it actually is, but only as one’s mind allows one to observe it. The logical structure, if you want to use that term, is in the object of awareness, not in the awareness itself; logic is fundamentally metaphysical, not epistemological. One cannot properly imagine actual infinity or a world in which the law of identity does not apply, not because the logical structure of the human mind won’t “allow” it, but because reality won’t allow it.
The knowledge that A is A is not gained by man observing reality. The knowledge that A is A is not knowledge at all, but an immutable fact of man’s very nature, an undeniable result of the way man’s brain is wired.
Not true, for the reasons previously mentioned. If one’s knowledge of identity were conditioned by the way that man’s brain is "wired," then one couldn’t know that identity is an immutable fact of reality, because one's concept of identity would pertain not to reality but simply to the way that one's brain is wired to perceive reality, in which case, one couldn’t possess knowledge of any kind.

I wrote, “Higher level abstractions are based on lower level ones, with the lowest level abstractions based on perceptual concretes. There is nothing else from which to form abstractions. So all knowledge is ultimately based on the evidence of the senses. Consider the concept 'chair,' which refers to every chair, past, present and future. A chair is a perceptual object, but the concept 'chair' is not a perceptual object; it is a mental integration of two or more chairs which, despite their individual differences, have the same distinguishing characteristics within the wider classification of 'furniture.' The same is true of the concept 'table.'

“But whereas the concepts 'chair' and 'table' are abstractions that subsume individual chairs and tables, the concept 'furniture' is an abstraction that subsumes the concepts 'chair' and 'table.' 'Furniture' is a classification of particular kinds of furniture, of which the concepts 'chair' and 'table' are particular units, just as individual chairs and tables are units of the concepts 'chair' and 'table'. And the concept 'furniture' is itself a unit of the wider concept 'household objects,' which subsumes other units such as art work, appliances and electronic equipment. But however far one goes up the conceptual ladder, the structure of knowledge must always rest firmly on the ground of concrete reality.”
If all this is true, certainly you could name the "perceptual concrete" which is the lowest rung on the "conceptual ladder" with regard to mathematics and logic, i.e., the perceptual concretes on which mathematics and logic are based respectively.
And I can. Mathematics is based on a perception of quantity in the real world (such as two apples, three oranges, five pencils, etc.), without which it couldn’t be conceived, and logic is based on a perception of existents in the real world, (such as entities, attributes or actions), without which it couldn’t be conceived.
As I mentioned, your explanations of how we use the scientific method to falsify our theories about our physical universe is accurate, so there is no reason for me to rehash it. However, I do take exception to one thing you said:
Theories can be falsified by inductive research, but theories can also be verified by inductive research. For example, the theory that (non-amorphous) ice floats in water can be verified by observing that the structure of ice takes up more volume than water molecules and therefore is less dense than water.
Theories about the physical universe cannot by verified by inductive research…ever! You can’t have it both ways and say that sometimes they can.
It depends on the theory.
The observation that "ice floats in water" is not "inductive research." It is an observation that "ice" and "water" are two different things, two different concepts, two different existents.
It’s not just an observation that they’re two different things; it’s an observation that they act in a certain way with respect to each other, and that mode of action is verified by observation, inductively, as it were. One arrives at the theory that ice floats in water by observing the nature of ice and water and their interaction, and then generalizing from that observation.
Now, one may theorize that ice does not float on water, but such a theory is easily falsified by a single experiment. One might also theorize that ice floats on water and spend the next hundred years trying to falsify such a theory, but to what avail?
Exactly, because it’s already been verified, inductively!
It would be like trying to falsify by means of inductive research a theory that says a table is a chair.
True, which is why Objectivism says that the law of causality is the law of identity applied to action. How a thing acts is a function of what it is.

To be continued...

- Bill


(Edited by William Dwyer on 12/10, 9:46am)

(Edited by William Dwyer on 12/10, 6:15pm)


Post 228

Monday, December 10, 2007 - 2:36pmSanction this postReply
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This is a continuation of Post #227.

Sherman wrote: “I can imagine a supernatural being who exists outside of the natural, physical world (hence the term "supernatural") who is pure consciousness, who communicates and senses its dimension of reality and ours by means of a power or energy unknown in our natural world (or not yet discovered).”

I replied: “No, you can't, because in order to ‘imagine’ such a consciousness, you would have to imagine it in terms of the concepts acquired from observing the natural world.”
I beg to differ with you. Not only did I imagine such a consciousness, I also conceptualized that imagined consciousness and communicated it to you in a way that you understood it. (I confess to stealing that concept from an episode of Star Trek in which such a consciousness was depicted, but that is neither here nor there.)

Are you so concrete-bound you can’t imagine anything which conflicts with your observations of our natural world? How is my imagined concept of a supernatural consciousness distinct from your concept of a "golden mountain," which you were able to easily imagine just a few posts ago?
Here’s the difference: I can imagine a golden mountain; I cannot imagine a mountain with no color. I can imagine a consciousness with a different form of perception (i.e., one with different sense organs); I cannot imagine a consciousness with no form of perception and no sense organs. Perception is always in a particular form – visual, auditory, tactile, olfactory, etc. – which is determined by the perceiver's means of perception -- its physical sense organs, brain and nervous system. It is inconceivable that a consciousness could perceive the world in no particular form and by no particular sensory or physical means. Consciousness evolved as a mechanism of survival for certain living organisms. If a conscious form of life, however different, exists elsewhere in the universe, its faculty of awareness would nonetheless have evolved in a similar way as a means of survival, which points up another non-sequitur in the theist's conception of God.

God is said to be everlasting and indestructible with no needs or survival requirements, yet he is depicted as having goals, purposes and values, which makes no sense, because he would have nothing to gain or lose by his actions. Only a living organism whose continued existence depends on satisfying its survival requirements can have values -- can have something to gain or lose by its actions. God cannot, for he cannot regard anything as for him or against him, as serving or threatening his welfare, as fulfilling or frustrating his interests. He can have no interests and no goals. Yet that hasn't stopped theists from worshipping a pure consciousness with no physical form - a senseless, brainless, goal-less nonentity who created the world out of nothing!

Fortunately, a substantial number of people in some of the more educated countries no longer believe in this fairy tale – but not the U.S., in which only 3-9% of its citizens are atheist or agnostic, in contrast to a majority of Swedes, Danes, Norwegians, Japanese, Vietnamese and Czechs, as well as a large percentage of Europeans, Brits, Australians and Israelis. In fact, out of 49 countries surveyed, the U.S. had the lowest percentage of atheists and agnostics. Only one other country (which was not mentioned in the survey) had fewer atheists and agnostics than the U.S., and that's Saudi Arabia, presumably because to admit to being an infidel in that part of the world is to risk severe punishment, even death.
Now on to another type of human knowledge. Up till now we’ve been discussing man’s knowledge of our physical universe. We agree that man forms concepts and theorizes about the physical world. These theories can be falsified by inductive research of the empirical evidence. Indeed, you would say that inductive research of the empirical evidence is the only way we can gain knowledge of our physical world. I basically agree with one slight exception. We both assume that there is a regularity in the universe which allows our inductive research to bear fruit, i.e., the laws of physics are constant and unchanging from one observation to the next.

However, there is another realm of reality of which man seeks knowledge and in which there is no predictable regularity to allow inductive research to bear fruit: human action.

Surely you would agree that men are not like rocks or mice. Although man’s physical body is subject to the immutable laws of physics, his actions though constrained by such laws are not determined by them. Thus, remembering our discussion about inductive research of empirical evidence in the physical world, the methods used by the natural sciences to falsify theory and gain knowledge could not possibly apply in the realm of human action because there is no regularity in the realm of human action.
But the purpose of induction isn’t simply to discover mechanical regularities. You're assuming that induction in the physical sciences must yield the same results as induction in the social sciences, but that’s not true. What induction in the social sciences tells us is that human beings choose their actions based on their cultural and philosophical values. So if you want to know how people will act, you need to know how they think, and if you want to change their actions, you need to change their values.

Moreover, induction in economic science also tells us that, with very few exceptions, people try to get the best deal they can for their money. So a seller will typically want to receive the highest price that he can for his product, and a buyer to pay the lowest price. Even the idea that people's actions are goal-directed is arrived at inductively rather than deductively.
For example, if I theorize that human beings will always run away from fire, such a theory could be easily falsified by a single instance of a human being running toward a fire, viz., a firefighter. If I theorize that human beings will always buy low and sell high, such a theory is easily falsified by observation of my wife. Etc. Etc.

All theories of human behavior can be falsified and thus proved untrue if subjected to the means of inductive research employed by the natural sciences: physics, biology, etc.

So if the means of the physical sciences are inadequate for man to gain knowledge of human action, what means are available? I answer, and Mises answers, analytical, deductive reasoning from a self-evidently true premise such as: man acts with purpose. Man can no more imagine himself acting without purpose than he can imagine opposites being identical. Purpose is the reason man’s behavior is not a slave to instinct or genetic "programming." Man does things for a reason. He does things on purpose. To deny this is to deny man’s very nature.

So, to make a long story short, economics is the analytical, deductive science of human action. Now I know that some economists practice their science by using the methods of the natural sciences. They theorize and predict how man will behave in certain circumstances and use inductive research of economic data attempting to verify their theories. We know such research cannot verify their theories and that a single instance of contrariness can falsify them, but they persist nevertheless. They use mathematical statistics to theorize and predict how most men will probably act under conditions that are similar to conditions as they existed before. But this method is bogus. The physical sciences would be lost if they applied the same methods to the subjects of their research.
Not necessarily. What about meteorology? If the weatherman says there is a 90% chance of rain, you would be wise to take your umbrella. What’s bogus about that? In fact, in a previous post you stated, "You imply that knowledge is not valid unless it is certain. I don’t agree. Man operates easily in everyday life using knowledge that is not certain." Even if probabilistic reasoning does not apply to a particular physical science, that doesn’t mean that it can’t be used where it does apply. And that includes economics.
An example: An economist theorizes that minimum wage laws cause unemployment. He conducts economic "research" in the real world and discovers that, when a government passes a minimum wage law, some communities experience higher unemployment, some communities experience lower unemployment and some communities experience no difference in the employment rate at all. [I've seen examples in real life of these types of research.] His only conclusion can be, based on his inductive research, that minimum wage laws do not necessarily cause unemployment.
The problem here is not that he is using induction, but that he is using it improperly. A proper application of induction would already have shown that a minimum-wage law causes employment, not because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it was before the law was passed or raised, but because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it otherwise would have been had the law not been passed or raised. In other words, a minimum-wage law reduces the demand for labor ceteris paribus. No amount of statistical shenanigans from academic frauds like Card and Krueger (see their book Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum-Wage) can alter that fact. At higher wages rates, employers have less funds available for employment; hence their demand for labor must be less than it otherwise would be.
Of course, the flaw is not in the economist’s reasoning, but in his method. Economic "data" is nothing more than historical records of how certain men acted in the past when conditions were necessarily different. Nor is the economist able to isolate variables which would allow him to determine from the data results which are solely due to the establishment of a minimum wage. Nor can the economist know if the unemployment data he studies before the passage of a minimum wage law is at, below or above the market rate for particular industries within the community he studies. In short, his methods are bogus and cannot be saved by any amount of tampering with the data or by any new means of more precise analysis, viz., the computer.
I agree in essence with what you’re saying here. Where I disagree is in what I would call “inductive” or “empirical.” You evidently are unwilling to call anything empirical that does not involve enumerative or statistical calculation, whereas I am not.
So how do we gain economic knowledge of man’s actions in a world in which man’s actions are inexorably a jumble? By pure, analytical, deductive reasoning from a self-evident premise.
I wouldn’t say that the reasoning is entirely deductive; it is partly deductive and partly inductive.
An analytical, deductive economist doesn’t use economic data to verify or falsify his theories. He puts his theories to the test of logic. A deductive economist can easily control the variables in his theorizing by making use of the concept "ceteris paribus," all else being unchanged. His pure reasoning tells the deductive economist that, ceteris paribus, mandating the price of labor above the market rate which would otherwise prevail always decreases the supply of jobs. Mandating the price of labor below the market rate always increases the supply of jobs. Mandating the price of labor at the market rate neither decreases or increases the supply of jobs.
I don’t disagree with this, but I would say that you are construing induction too narrowly and placing too much emphasis on deduction.
You might be uncomfortable with the analytical, deductive method of economics but the knowledge it produces is certain as opposed to the uncertainty produced by the inductive econometricians.
I’m not uncomfortable with it, but (conceptual) knowledge can be knowledge of only one thing – the real world – and can be gained only by an application of reason to the evidence of one’s senses. One acquires the premises from which one deduces particular conclusions only from observing reality. Any process of econometrics or statistical analysis that disputes the law of demand is misusing induction by ignoring other knowledge already inductively established.
Moreover, this certain deductive knowledge cannot be disproved by empirical inductive research to the contrary.
I agree with your point, but I would not put it in the terms that you have. This is not an issue of deduction versus induction, but of inductively based deduction versus an illegitimate form of induction. Remember, induction is going from the particular to the general; deduction, from the general to the particular. One cannot arrive at general propositions about reality except inductively. While deduction is a perfectly legitimate method of inference, it presupposes and depends on induction.

Sherman, have you read Professor Leonard Peikoff's "The Analytic/Synthetic Dichotomy" in Rand's Introduction to Objectivist Epistemology? I'm curious what you think of it.

- Bill


(Edited by William Dwyer on 12/10, 4:32pm)


Post 229

Wednesday, December 12, 2007 - 4:06pmSanction this postReply
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Bill,

Thank you for your last two posts. Before I endeavor to respond to them with the care they deserve I wonder if you could do me a favor. Just to make sure we're on the same page with regard to our premises, would you let me know if you agree or disagree with the following:

1. Outside of the realm of human action there is a regularity in the succession and concatenation of observable events. That is, what is true today of the physical universe with regard to the motion and behavior of matter and energy was true yesterday and will be true tomorrow and the day after. That is, the reality upon which our laws of physics rest is immutable.

2. In the realm of human action, because of our human free will, there is no such regularity in the succession and concatenation of observable events.

Thanks for your trouble.

Regards,
Sherman



Post 230

Wednesday, December 12, 2007 - 6:53pmSanction this postReply
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Sherman wrote,
Thank you for your last two posts. Before I endeavor to respond to them with the care they deserve I wonder if you could do me a favor. Just to make sure we're on the same page with regard to our premises, would you let me know if you agree or disagree with the following:

1. Outside of the realm of human action there is a regularity in the succession and concatenation of observable events. That is, what is true today of the physical universe with regard to the motion and behavior of matter and energy was true yesterday and will be true tomorrow and the day after. That is, the reality upon which our laws of physics rest is immutable.

2. In the realm of human action, because of our human free will, there is no such regularity in the succession and concatenation of observable events.
What I think you're asking is, do I agree that non-human action occurs with mechanistic regularity and is therefore determined and predictable, whereas human action is not?

I don't think you can say that all non-human action occurs with mechanistic regularity. What about the behavior of animals? You certainly can't predict their behavior the way that you can the behavior of inanimate objects. Yet, I doubt that you would ascribe free will to animals. Nor can geologists predict the occurrence of earthquakes, which are themselves governed by immutable physical laws. The reason these laws are immutable is that they are governed by the law of causality, which in turn is based on the law of identity. The law of causality says that the same things must act the same way under the same conditions, because if they could act differently, then they wouldn't be the same things -- they wouldn't possess identity.

But the law of identity applies to plants and animals including human beings just as well as it does to inanimate objects. It is true that one can't always predict the behavior of human beings, just as one can't always predict the behavior of the lower animals, but that is not because neither is governed by the law of causality; it is because both human and non-human animals are sufficiently complex organisms that we cannot isolate all of the causal variables in order to know precisely what to expect. But we can often predict their behavior within certain reasonable limits.

Now you mention free will, which is another subject entirely, but if by "free will," you mean freedom from the law of causal necessity, then I must disagree with you that human beings have free will. Man's choices are themselves determined by causal antecedents. As von Mises puts it, "The innate and inherited biological qualities and all that life has worked upon him make a man what he is at any instant of his pilgrimage. They are his fate and destiny. His will is not 'free' in the metaphysical sense of this term. It is determined by his background and all the influences to which he himself and his ancestors were exposed." (Human Action, p. 46.)

So, I don't agree that the difference between the actions of human beings and of everything else is that human beings possess free will, whereas everything else is determined by antecedent causes.

As I've indicated in previous posts, there is a certain regularity and predictability to human action. If there weren't, then no one could plan or coordinate his activities with anyone else. We rely on being able to predict what other people do, just in order to function in a social environment. For example, we rely on the fact that cars and pedestrians will stop at red lights, that our employees will do their work with sufficient dedication, that our employers will pay our wages and salaries as promised, that stores will open and close at the times they say they will, that when we go shopping, there will be clerks in the store to handle our business, that the tellers at our banks will dispense the correct amount of money, that people will keep their appointments with us, etc.. To be sure, there will be times that our expectations are not met, but for the most part they are. There is a strong regularity and predictability to human action, just as there is to animal behavior, even though we cannot predict either with absolute certainty.

- Bill
(Edited by William Dwyer on 12/12, 10:57pm)


Post 231

Thursday, December 13, 2007 - 10:11amSanction this postReply
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Bill,

I wrote:
1. Outside of the realm of human action there is a regularity in the succession and concatenation of observable events. That is, what is true today of the physical universe with regard to the motion and behavior of matter and energy was true yesterday and will be true tomorrow and the day after. That is, the reality upon which our laws of physics rest is immutable.

You wrote:
What I think you're asking is, do I agree that non-human action occurs with mechanistic regularity and is therefore determined and predictable, whereas human action is not?

I thought my statement was straight-forward, but your restatement seems fair enough for government work.
I don't think you can say that all non-human action occurs with mechanistic regularity. What about the behavior of animals? You certainly can't predict their behavior the way that you can the behavior of inanimate objects. Yet, I doubt that you would ascribe free will to animals. Nor can geologists predict the occurrence of earthquakes, which are themselves governed by immutable physical laws. The reason these laws are immutable is that they are governed by the law of causality, which in turn is based on the law of identity. The law of causality says that the same things must act the same way under the same conditions, because if they could act differently, then they wouldn't be the same things -- they wouldn't possess identity.  
Yes, I can't predict which flavor of Fancy Feast my cat will like best and where and when she will puke next, but I can predict with absolute certainty that she will always behave as a cat because her genes and her instincts govern her behavior which includes locomotion. Other than a few, insignificant quirks in taste bud sensitivity and locomotion I can predict her catness behavior perfectly. If I studied her long enough and hard enough I could probably even predict behavior occasioned by her insignificant quirks in taste bud sensitivity and locomotion. 

As for the "behavior" of inanimate objects, I say they do not behave. They simply are static objects. Any locomotion they exhibit is supplied by deterministic forces of the universe beyond and outside of them.

Yes, for reasons that should be obvious to anyone, it is easier to predict the future motions of static, inanimate objects than the future motions of animate objects. In the former case, knowledge of the deterministic forces of the universe is sufficient. In the latter, knowledge of the deterministic forces of the universe is insufficient. One must also have knowledge of the specific genetic and instinctive programming inside the animate object in order to predict their future motion.

Yes, scientists cannot "predict the occurrence of earthquakes." However, this failure does not mean that the "behavior" of earthquakes is unpredictable and non-deterministic. The "behavior" of earthquakes is determined by the forces of nature and, if scientists had total knowledge of all forces involved and all causal relationships involved in the formation of earthquakes, they could predict their occurrence.

Moreover, I don't believe the "law of causality" and the "law of identity" govern anything, in the metaphysical sense. I believe reality is what it is and the laws you cite are one philosopher's means of understanding what reality is. Other philosophers understand reality by observing that there is a regularity (a "mechanistic regularity" as you put it) in the concatenation of events in the physical universe. My two cents says that the two ways of understanding reality are distinct only in semantics and in the inferences that can be drawn from those semantical differences. 

You wrote:
But the law of identity applies to plants and animals including human beings just as well as it does to inanimate objects. It is true that one can't always predict the behavior of human beings, just as one can't always predict the behavior of the lower animals, but that is not because neither is governed by the law of causality; it is because both human and non-human animals are sufficiently complex organisms that we cannot isolate all of the causal variables in order to know precisely what to expect. But we can often predict their behavior within certain reasonable limits.
This paragraph is gobbledygook. You're saying in essence that just as I would be able to predict my cat's behavior if supplied with enough time, patience, knowledge and inclination, a scientist could predict my behavior if supplied with the same (or perhaps a little more) time, patience, knowledge and inclination. Total nonsense. And you can't save it from being nonsense by adding that "we can often predict their behavior within certain reasonable limits." How long would a scientist have to study Hitler, Einstein, Henry Ford or Jonas Salk to predict their behavior "within certain reasonable limits?" And what does "certain reasonable limits" mean other than an opportunity for you to weasel out of virtually any objection offered in rebuttal?

You wrote:
Now you mention free will, which is another subject entirely, but if by "free will," you mean freedom from the law of causal necessity, then I must disagree with you that human beings have free will. Man's choices are themselves determined by causal antecedents. As von Mises puts it, "The innate and inherited biological qualities and all that life has worked upon him make a man what he is at any instant of his pilgrimage. They are his fate and destiny. His will is not 'free' in the metaphysical sense of this term. It is determined by his background and all the influences to which he himself and his ancestors were exposed." (Human Action, p. 46.)
Yes, "free will" is another subject entirely. I shouldn't have mentioned it. Free will in the sense you understand it has nothing to do with the point I was making. I do not believe that human beings have "free will" in the metaphysical sense of the term. However, neither do I believe that this absence of a metaphysical "free will" means that man's purposeful actions are determined, regular, mechanistic and predictable (within any "reasonable limits").

Neither, by the way, does von Mises. If you would have quoted his words in their full context you would have added these few sentences which capture the essence of his thinking:

The fact that an action is in the regular course of affairs performed spontaneously, as it were, does not mean that it is not due to a conscious volition and to a deliberate choice. Indulgence in a routine which possibly could be changed is action.
Praxeology is not concerned with the changing content of acting, but with its pure form and its categorial structure. The study of the accidental and environmental features of human action is the task of history.
I'm thrilled you're reading Mises, and quoting him no less. However, it's disappointing your endeavor results in misrepresenting his meaning.

You wrote:
 So, I don't agree that the difference between the actions of human beings and of everything else is that human beings possess free will, whereas everything else is determined by antecedent causes.

As I've indicated in previous posts, there is a certain regularity and predictability to human action. If there weren't, then no one could plan or coordinate his activities with anyone else. We rely on being able to predict what other people do, just in order to function in a social environment. For example, we rely on the fact that cars and pedestrians will stop at red lights, that our employees will do their work with sufficient dedication, that our employers will pay our wages and salaries as promised, that stores will open and close at the times they say they will, that when we go shopping, there will be clerks in the store to handle our business, that the tellers at our banks will dispense the correct amount of money, that people will keep their appointments with us, etc.. To be sure, there will be times that our expectations are not met, but for the most part they are. There is a strong regularity and predictability to human action, just as there is to animal behavior, even though we cannot predict either with absolute certainty.
The above is why it is fruitless to proceed with our discussion.

No object on the planet, animate or inanimate, other than man acts with purpose, i.e., imagines ends and chooses means to attain those ends. All objects on the planet other than man, animate and inanimate, are slaves to the deterministic forces in nature or in their own genes. Only man can step outside the bonds of this servitude in certain significant ways due to aspects of his own, unique biology which allow him to act purposefully.

You may object by offering examples of insects that build societies, or monkeys that use sticks to pry open ant hills or apes that can communicate non-verbally. But these objections do not prove that man's ability to act purposefully is not unique. They only prove that man is able to recognize a few, human-like, automatous behaviors in lower animals.

As for your last paragraph...well, it totally misses the point and, I might add, is a bit naive (or disingenuous) to boot. Do you actually imagine that the fact that human beings make many of the same pedestrian choices under similar, routine, social circumstances disproves the premise that human beings act purposefully? Re-read Page 46 of Human Action that you quoted above.

Besides, your observation does more to prove the premise of human purposeful action than it does to refute it. Human cooperative society is a product of man's purposeful action (unless you believe that human society springs from man's genes in the same way as ant society springs from an ant's genes). Human society and the culture it spawns encourages humans to be more knowable and predictable to their fellow human beings in normal social intercourse. The result is more conducive to peaceful cooperation.

Furthermore, if you think that citing a few menial examples of people stopping for stop lights, keeping appointments and showing up for work on time proves your theory that there "is a strong regularity and predictability to human action, just as there is to animal behavior, even though we cannot predict either with absolute certainty," think again. A more convincing proof would be an example of your ability to predict the winner of next year's presidential election, or the participants in next month's superbowl or the level of tomorrow's stock market index.

Moreover, these predictions I've cited and this knowledge of human action are collectivist-type decisions and knowledge of collectivist behavior. We've said little of being able or unable to predict what any given individual will do in any given circumstance. You may very well be able to guess with some degree of probability how human beings might act considered in a particular collective, but that degree of probability is all but worthless when the actions of an individual are considered. Will the President of Iran follow through on his threat to destroy Israel? Will my wife decide to take a new job? Will a certain troubled youth in a public school go postal and murder 20 people in a public mall?

All this is so obvious it makes me wonder why you persist in disputing it. Could it be you are jumping through intellectual hoops not to get at the truth but to defend an ideology against which you can tolerate no disagreement whatsoever? I don't know. I do know I would never expect an Objectivist to claim that human action is virtually as predictable as the action of my pet cat!

I made two points -- two fairly simple points -- in my Post 229. I asked your opinion about them to make sure we're on the same page. Surely, you can see that if we can't agree on these two points, then we must disagree on virtually every issue with regard to economics, human action and, even, human rights, at least with regard to human knowledge about such matters. To continue a back-and-forth nitpicking discussion under such circumstances would be for naught (though I have learned a bit about Objectivist thinking from our discussion so far).

However, the bottom line is that, from what I can gather, we disagree on the two fundamental points I made in my Post #229.

Regards,
Sherman   




Post 232

Thursday, December 13, 2007 - 10:26pmSanction this postReply
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Sherman,

You claimed you've learned about Objectivist thinking from your interactions with Bill. But for clarity, I'd like to jump in to say that Bill's notions regarding free will are not representative of Objectivism, per se.

A more consonant or commensurate (with Objectivism) way to describe free will is that man is a "moved" mover -- i.e., still a prime mover (an independent causal power, like gravity is), but not entirely unmoved by his past, present, and expected future desires, loves, fears, etc. There are 2 broad things that "move" man to make the independent choices that he does: his reason & his emotion. All perceived events are actively filtered through one or the other of these, or through both -- as man settles down on a choice.

So far, this leaves out raw (or vulgar) "chance" entirely. Yet man's free will is not chance, but an originating cause of action. In fact, the only kind of a chance event possible is a "chance coincidence." Here is an example of such a thing:

==================
Two men boarding opposite-heading trains will choose seats; their choice of seat is not by chance, but by will, or perhaps by whim -- either of which would be a case of agent causation. As the trains start in opposite directions, the point at which the 2 men pass directly by each other is a chance coincidence.

The reason that this is true is because, though each individual choice of seat was willed (caused), there is a chance for differing combinations of seat choices. And the reason that that is true is because each man's choice of seat is entirely independent of the other man's choice.
==================

So unlinked causations, due to the existence of 2 or more choosing agents, lead to chance coincidences -- the only kind of chance that exists.

Ed



Post 233

Thursday, December 13, 2007 - 11:55pmSanction this postReply
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I wrote: "But the law of identity applies to plants and animals including human beings just as well as it does to inanimate objects. It is true that one can't always predict the behavior of human beings, just as one can't always predict the behavior of the lower animals, but that is not because neither is governed by the law of causality; it is because both human and non-human animals are sufficiently complex organisms that we cannot isolate all of the causal variables in order to know precisely what to expect. But we can often predict their behavior within certain reasonable limits."

Sherman replied,
This paragraph is gobbledygook. You're saying in essence that just as I would be able to predict my cat's behavior if supplied with enough time, patience, knowledge and inclination, a scientist could predict my behavior if supplied with the same (or perhaps a little more) time, patience, knowledge and inclination. Total nonsense.
Why is it nonsense, if you add the qualifiers "enough time, patience, knowledge and inclination"?
And you can't save it from being nonsense by adding that "we can often predict their behavior within certain reasonable limits."
Predicting their behavior within certain reasonable limits is easy; it doesn't mean predicting it with absolute certainty. If I know you're a reliable person, and we make plans to have lunch, I can predict that, barring an emergency, you'll keep your appointment.
How long would a scientist have to study Hitler, Einstein, Henry Ford or Jonas Salk to predict their behavior "within certain reasonable limits?" And what does "certain reasonable limits" mean other than an opportunity for you to weasel out of virtually any objection offered in rebuttal?
Again, you are accusing me of evasion, while evading my explanation and making no serious effort to understand what I mean by "reasonable limits." I would have thought that my meaning was obvious. Given his belief in Nazism, one could have predicted that Hitler would act on that belief. And, of course, he did. Given Henry Ford's profession, one could have predicted that he would produce automobiles, and of course, he did. That doesn't mean that one could have predicted everything that Hitler and Ford did, with infallible certainty. Hence, the qualifier "within reasonable limits."

I wrote, "Now you mention free will, which is another subject entirely, but if by 'free will,' you mean freedom from the law of causal necessity, then I must disagree with you that human beings have free will. Man's choices are themselves determined by causal antecedents. As von Mises puts it, "The innate and inherited biological qualities and all that life has worked upon him make a man what he is at any instant of his pilgrimage. They are his fate and destiny. His will is not 'free' in the metaphysical sense of this term. It is determined by his background and all the influences to which he himself and his ancestors were exposed." (Human Action, p. 46.)
Yes, "free will" is another subject entirely. I shouldn't have mentioned it. Free will in the sense you understand it has nothing to do with the point I was making.
What is the sense in which I understand it? I thought you were talking about free will in the sense that von Mises understands it, which is classical or "metaphysical" free will -- the ability to choose either of two alternatives under the same conditions.
I do not believe that human beings have "free will" in the metaphysical sense of the term.
Okay, but that's what I thought you meant, since you introduced the term into our discussion. Can you blame me for drawing that conclusion?
However, neither do I believe that this absence of a metaphysical "free will" means that man's purposeful actions are determined, regular, mechanistic and predictable (within any "reasonable limits").
I didn't use the term "mechanistic." I do not believe that man's behavior is mechanistic; I believe that it is purposive. However, I don't see any contradiction in saying that purposive behavior is determined by one's value judgments. Nor do I see any contradiction in saying that it can be predicted within certain reasonable limits. We make predictions about people's behavior all the time based on our knowledge of their values and goals.
Neither, by the way, does von Mises. If you would have quoted his words in their full context you would have added these few sentences which capture the essence of his thinking:
"The fact that an action is in the regular course of affairs performed spontaneously, as it were, does not mean that it is not due to a conscious volition and to a deliberate choice. Indulgence in a routine which possibly could be changed is action.

"Praxeology is not concerned with the changing content of acting, but with its pure form and its categorical structure. The study of the accidental and environmental features of human action is the task of history."
I'm thrilled you're reading Mises, and quoting him no less. However, it's disappointing your endeavor results in misrepresenting his meaning.
How have I misrepresented his meaning? You were the one who broached the subject of free will. I was simply quoting Mises' view in support of my own position on that subject. Mises, I gather, is a compatibilist, and so am I. Man's choices are determined by antecedent causes, among which are his values, goals and purposes, but his choices are nevertheless unconstrained. In that respect, his voluntary actions are due not to efficient causation, but to final causation (using two of Aristotle's four causes).

I wrote: "So, I don't agree that the difference between the actions of human beings and of everything else is that human beings possess free will, whereas everything else is determined by antecedent causes.

"As I've indicated in previous posts, there is a certain regularity and predictability to human action. If there weren't, then no one could plan or coordinate his activities with anyone else. We rely on being able to predict what other people do, just in order to function in a social environment. For example, we rely on the fact that cars and pedestrians will stop at red lights, that our employees will do their work with sufficient dedication, that our employers will pay our wages and salaries as promised, that stores will open and close at the times they say they will, that when we go shopping, there will be clerks in the store to handle our business, that the tellers at our banks will dispense the correct amount of money, that people will keep their appointments with us, etc.. To be sure, there will be times that our expectations are not met, but for the most part they are. There is a strong regularity and predictability to human action, just as there is to animal behavior, even though we cannot predict either with absolute certainty."
The above is why it is fruitless to proceed with our discussion.
Why do you say that?
No object on the planet, animate or inanimate, other than man acts with purpose, i.e., imagines ends and chooses means to attain those ends. All objects on the planet other than man, animate and inanimate, are slaves to the deterministic forces in nature or in their own genes. Only man can step outside the bonds of this servitude in certain significant ways due to aspects of his own, unique biology which allow him to act purposefully.
If I understand what you're saying, I agree with you. By "determinism," I simply meant necessity in causation. Man's actions are necessitated, just like those of the lower animals, but unlike the lower animals, man operates at the conceptual level of purposeful behavior.
You may object by offering examples of insects that build societies, or monkeys that use sticks to pry open ant hills or apes that can communicate non-verbally. But these objections do not prove that man's ability to act purposefully is not unique. They only prove that man is able to recognize a few, human-like, automatous behaviors in lower animals.
I wouldn't say that the behavior of primates is automatous; they do exhibit a kind of purposeful behavior, although not the kind of conceptually formulated purpose characteristic of human choice. Nor would I say that insects act with purpose, although one could certainly ascribe a kind of in-built goal-directedness to their behavior.
As for your last paragraph...well, it totally misses the point and, I might add, is a bit naive (or disingenuous) to boot. Do you actually imagine that the fact that human beings make many of the same pedestrian choices under similar, routine, social circumstances disproves the premise that human beings act purposefully?
Sherman, this is funny. Where did you get the idea that I don't believe that human beings act purposefully? From the fact that I view human behavior as a product of causal necessity? All I'm saying there is that man's choices are necessitated by his value judgments, and that his values judgments determine his purposes.
Re-read Page 46 of Human Action that you quoted above.
We are arguing at cross purposes. You don't understand where I'm coming from.
Besides, your observation does more to prove the premise of human purposeful action than it does to refute it.
Which shouldn't be too surprising, since I wasn't trying to refute it. :-)
Human cooperative society is a product of man's purposeful action
Of course, it is!
(unless you believe that human society springs from man's genes in the same way as ant society springs from an ant's genes). Human society and the culture it spawns encourages humans to be more knowable and predictable to their fellow human beings in normal social intercourse. The result is more conducive to peaceful cooperation.
Exactly! I couldn't have said it better myself!
Furthermore, if you think that citing a few menial examples of people stopping for stop lights, keeping appointments and showing up for work on time proves your theory that there "is a strong regularity and predictability to human action, just as there is to animal behavior, even though we cannot predict either with absolute certainty," think again. A more convincing proof would be an example of your ability to predict the winner of next year's presidential election, or the participants in next month's superbowl or the level of tomorrow's stock market index.

Moreover, these predictions I've cited and this knowledge of human action are collectivist-type decisions and knowledge of collectivist behavior. We've said little of being able or unable to predict what any given individual will do in any given circumstance. You may very well be able to guess with some degree of probability how human beings might act considered in a particular collective, but that degree of probability is all but worthless when the actions of an individual are considered.
Not necessarily. I can predict within a high degree of probability that my significant other will treat me differently than a total stranger -- that my professor will teach my class at the same scheduled time each week during the semester, that my dentist will keep his appointment with me to have my teeth cleaned, etc.
Will the President of Iran follow through on his threat to destroy Israel? Will my wife decide to take a new job? Will a certain troubled youth in a public school go postal and murder 20 people in a public mall?

All this is so obvious it makes me wonder why you persist in disputing it.
I'm not disputing it. I said "within reasonable limits"; I didn't say that we could predict people's choices or behavior with infallible certainty.
Could it be you are jumping through intellectual hoops not to get at the truth but to defend an ideology against which you can tolerate no disagreement whatsoever? I don't know. I do know I would never expect an Objectivist to claim that human action is virtually as predictable as the action of my pet cat!
I'm not saying that it's as predictable as the action of your cat. Human beings are more complex than animals, and even animal behavior is not always predictable. Occasionally elephants go on a rampage and injure their caretakers, or lions unexpectedly attack their trainers.
I made two points -- two fairly simple points -- in my Post 229. I asked your opinion about them to make sure we're on the same page. Surely, you can see that if we can't agree on these two points, then we must disagree on virtually every issue with regard to economics, human action and, even, human rights, at least with regard to human knowledge about such matters. To continue a back-and-forth nitpicking discussion under such circumstances would be for naught (though I have learned a bit about Objectivist thinking from our discussion so far).
First of all, I'm not a full-fledged Objectivist, for I don't believe in metaphysical free will; Rand does and so do most of her followers; so don't take my discussion of this issue as representing Objectivism's. Secondly, I think you're jumping to conclusions without making sure that you understand what I'm saying, which leads you to misinterpret my meaning.

I'm still interested in your responses to my two previous posts, which you said you would reply to, and also what you think of Peikoff's "Analytic-Synthetic Dichotomy" article, because it's relevant to several of the issues we've been discussing.

- Bill



(Edited by William Dwyer on 12/14, 12:12am)


Post 234

Friday, December 14, 2007 - 1:23pmSanction this postReply
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More (pseudo-) thread hijacking on the issue of Metaphysical Free Will -- which actually does affect how we think about "right" Rights


Man's choices do have direct internal & immediate causes. These direct causes -- being internal & immediate (rather than externally caused, or caused merely by a chronicle of past events or experiences) -- fail to demonstrate determinism in man's choices.

The reason that these immediate causes are internal is because man ruminates (deliberates). Via a personally-chosen shift of focus, man can decide to ruminate (about a given choice) predominantly by reasoning, uncriticized emotion, or criticized (reasoned) emotion. Man can also decide, via a personally-chosen shift of focus, to ruminate predominantly on past experience, present circumstance, or future (read: personally-imagined) expectation of benefit or harm. That's already at least 9 different ways that man can personally-choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life. But there's even more freedom in his choice-making than that.

The reason that these internal causes are immediate is because man's mind can (and does) change -- in response to better reasoning, strengthened uncriticized emotion, or strengthened criticized (reasoned) emotion. One can be closed-off to such change (via an act of will), or one can be open to such change (via an act of will). So that's at least 27 different ways that man can personally-choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life. But there's still another freedom that man has in his choice-making.

Another and different way that man can personally-choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life is to take someone else's advice. Man can decide to trust in another's judgment over his own. On medical matters, for instance, man may personally-choose to take the advice of his doctor; on legal matters, his lawyer; and so on. Man is also free to choose not to take this advice (to choose NOT to trust the judgment of others over his own).
 
On top of that, man may choose to take the advice of another (over his own) regarding his past experience -- but not his present (or his future) experience. Man may choose to take the advice of another only with regard to his present circumstances, or only with regard to his future expectations -- or any combination of these. So that's at least 81 different ways that man can personally choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life. But there's at least one more freedom that man has in his choice-making.

Additionally -- according to which kind of a counselor that a man personally chooses to trust -- man may choose to predominantly ruminate (over a given choice) via merely-calculative reasoning (Kantian), via uncriticized emotion (Rousseau-ian), or via criticized or reasoned emotion (Randian). So that's at least 243 different ways that man can personally choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life.

Due to my past experience with Bill, however, I suspect him to retort with the notion that -- of these 243 mutually-exclusive ways that man can personally choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life -- that the one way that was personally chosen; was necessitated by current & antecedent factors! This retort, however, is awful weak because of man's variable or changing (usually improving) "rational-emotive" interpretation of what has happened, is happening, and potentially will happen (in the future).

Man's basic freedom is the freedom to learn (and grow) or to evade (and stagnate or wither). He's free to be open- or closed-minded about the 243 mutually-exclusive ways he can personally choose to take in response to any given alternative in his life. He's free to run away from things (in fear); or to dig up the courage to run toward things (in love). In short, he's free to build character -- i.e., to become a different (read: better) person via willful engagement in habitual & virtuous action.

Man can choose to change himself (hopefully for the better) -- and the only logical explanation for that kind of personal power is a Metaphysical Free Will.

Ed



(Edited by Ed Thompson on 12/14, 1:28pm)


Post 235

Saturday, December 15, 2007 - 7:25amSanction this postReply
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Bill,

You wrote:
We are arguing at cross purposes.

No kidding.

You wrote:
You don't understand where I'm coming from.

No, I don't, at least not precisely.

You wrote:
Man's choices are determined by antecedent causes, among which are his values, goals and purposes, but his choices are nevertheless unconstrained. In that respect, his voluntary actions are due not to efficient causation, but to final causation (using two of Aristotle's four causes).

I am not a philosopher. You are obviously well-versed in the nuances of philosophical reasoning. I am not. To be frank, I place little value on the nuances of philosophical argumentation. I think most often philosophers get caught up in the trees and miss the forest. I like Mises' economics not because of the philosophy which underpins it, but because his method works, plain and simple. Economics which rely on the methods of natural sciences to gain knowledge fail the "smell test." The conclusions of inductive economics are virtually always unrealistic, uncertain and undependable. In other words, they are all but useless in theoretical economics, in which I am most interested.

In my opinion, Mises greatest insight was: Absolute subjectivisim in method. This removes objective value from economic discussion and allows economics to be raised to the level of a true "objective" and "non-normative" science. Of course, you do not believe any of this which makes discussion fruitless. As best I can tell, you believe "value" trumps and guides all notions of human choice. You don't believe in objective ethical values, but you do believe in metaphysical values which pretty much agree down the line with Ayn Rand's notion of the appropriate values for man qua man. Your quaint (at least in my judgment) notions with regard to metaphysical value color all your thinking. While you're not a strict determinist, you believe metaphysical values shape and delimit human choices. So far as man makes choices in line with this ultimate value, he is happy. So far as he doesn't, he isn't and cannot be happy. Obviously, your views directly contradict Mises' method of absolute subjectivism, thus your vehement opinion that economics (not to mention ethics) should be (and is) normative. (If I'm wrong about any of this, I'm sure you'll straighten me out.)

You wrote:
I didn't use the term "mechanistic." I do not believe that man's behavior is mechanistic; I believe that it is purposive. However, I don't see any contradiction in saying that purposive behavior is determined by one's value judgments. Nor do I see any contradiction in saying that it can be predicted within certain reasonable limits. We make predictions about people's behavior all the time based on our knowledge of their values and goals.

Well, for the record, you did use the term "mechanistic," but not in reference to human action. In Post #230 you changed my original posit to: "What I think you're asking is, do I agree that non-human action occurs with mechanistic regularity and is therefore determined and predictable, whereas human action is not?" I think it is only fair that I get to use your terms in trying to prove your thesis is mistaken.

I do see a contradiction in saying that "that purposive behavior is determined by one's value judgments" if by "value judgments" you mean a metaphysical or motive essence that predetermines particular outcomes of human action. Mises did not believe that. Neither do I. Purposive behavior is determined by man's conscious decision to strive after particular goals or ends (particular "values" considered in a general sense, if you will). That's as far as Mises and I are willing to go. Any further examination of motive or values in a metaphysical sense is the subject matter for psychology, history, ethics or metaphysics -- not economics.

Given the context of the above paragraph, surely you can understand why I see it is irrelevant (if not contradictory) to say that human action "can be predicted within certain reasonable limits." Specific predictions of the observable outcomes of particular human actions in an actual "real world" setting is not within the province of subjective economics. It is within the province of economic history and/or psychology. I would say (and Mises would probably agree) that subjective economics is a science of means. It deductively concludes economic principles from the premise of purposive behavior with absolute certainty. It's method is entirely rationalistic. Making use of strictly controlled thought experiments governed by the principle of ceteris paribus it concludes that certain means inexorably lead to certain ends. Because of the impossibility of establishing these strict conditions in the real world, trying to confirm or predict with certainty real world consequences of policies based on these economic principles is vain. The economic principles are, nevertheless, true.

In Post #226 I described an econometrician using the methods of the physical sciences -- inductive research -- to test the validity of his theory that minimum wage laws cause unemployment. I concluded:
In short, his methods are bogus and cannot be saved by any amount of tampering with the data or by any new means of more precise analysis, viz., the computer.   

In Post #228 you responded:
The problem here is not that he is using induction, but that he is using it improperly. A proper application of induction would already have shown that a minimum-wage law causes employment, not because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it was before the law was passed or raised, but because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it otherwise would have been had the law not been passed or raised. In other words, a minimum-wage law reduces the demand for labor ceteris paribus. No amount of statistical shenanigans from academic frauds like Card and Krueger (see their book Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum-Wage) can alter that fact. At higher wages rates, employers have less funds available for employment; hence their demand for labor must be less than it otherwise would be.       

Here is the evidence for our arguing at "cross purposes." You argue that my econometrician used the inductive method "improperly." I assume you mean that the parameters of his research were flawed and that the subject variables were not isolated. With proper parameters and variable isolation you imply this econometrician would have produced the correct conclusion: "a minimum-wage law causes employment, not because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it was before the law was passed or raised, but because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it otherwise would have been had the law not been passed or raised."

The question is: How do you know this? How can you know prior to the econometrician's research what the correct conclusion of that research must be? Or what the correct parameters of his research must be? Or if such parameters are even possible to achieve in the real world? How do you know with certainty that "Card and Krueger" are "academic frauds" who engage in "statistical shenanigans?" Why throw out the results of their empirical research and accept the results of econometricians whose findings correspond to the findings you think are correct? Indeed, how do you know prior to any empirical research at all that "a minimum-wage law reduce[s] the demand for labor ceteris paribus?"!!!!!! How do you know that the economic principle you quote is a "fact?"!!!!!!!

I submit there are only two ways you could be certain of the truth of the economic principle under discussion: 1) You learned it by conducting (or studying the results of) economic inductive research; or 2) You learned it by conducting (or studying the results of) economic deductive ratiocination. However, if you learned it by means of inductive research your knowledge couldn't be certain because some research (Card and Krueger) falsifies the theory (no matter how flawed you think that research is). [We have not even considered whether perfectly controlled parameters and perfectly isolated variables are even possible in real world economic experiments!] 

On the other hand, learning such economic principles by deductive economic ratiocination (or studying the work of those who have done the deducing) would provide you with certain knowledge.

You wrote:

I'm still interested in your responses to my two previous posts, which you said you would reply to, and also what you think of Peikoff's "Analytic-Synthetic Dichotomy" article, because it's relevant to several of the issues we've been discussing.


I've partially responded above. Do you really believe hashing out the nuances of the analytic/synthetic dichotomy would reconcile our differences demonstrated above? 

Regards,
Sherman

(Edited by Sherman Broder on 12/15, 7:31am)


Post 236

Saturday, December 15, 2007 - 7:29amSanction this postReply
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Ed,

Thanks for your clarifying posts. I think my idea of "free will" is closer to yours than to Bill's.

As for hijacking this thread, I know you're right and apologize for it. Bill and I disagree in so many fundamental ways time and space just got away from us. That being said, I hardly know what to title a separate thread. Perhaps you could do the honors.

Regards,
Sherman 


Post 237

Saturday, December 15, 2007 - 2:55pmSanction this postReply
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I wrote, "Man's choices are determined by antecedent causes, among which are his values, goals and purposes, but his choices are nevertheless unconstrained. In that respect, his voluntary actions are due not to efficient causation, but to final causation (using two of Aristotle's four causes)." Sherman replied,
I am not a philosopher. You are obviously well-versed in the nuances of philosophical reasoning. I am not. To be frank, I place little value on the nuances of philosophical argumentation.
If you're "not well-versed in the nuances of philosophical reasoning," as you say, then on what grounds do you "place little value" on it? Suppose I said that I'm not well-versed in the nuances of economic reasoning, but that I nevertheless place little value on it. Would you respect that statement? You are, in fact, engaged in philosophical reasoning, whether you care to acknowledge it or not. But to fill you in on the terminology, "efficient causation" refers to the force or agent producing the effect; "final causation," to the purpose for which a choice made. So a person's choices are "caused" not by some antecedent agent forcing him to make them (i.e., not by an efficient cause), but by the goal, purpose or value for which they are chosen (i.e., by a final cause).
I think most often philosophers get caught up in the trees and miss the forest.
Well, I'm not "most philosophers," any more than you're "most economists." So, be careful how you generalize!
I like Mises' economics not because of the philosophy which underpins it, but because his method works, plain and simple.
"Works" by what standard? To say that something "works" is simply to say that it serves a particular purpose. If the purpose is to understand economic activity, then what is the purpose of THAT? Why is understanding economic activity important? It is important, because it can better enable us to satisfy our material needs and values. And once you acknowledge that, you're right back into the normative aspect of economics. We SHOULD study economics, because it will enable us to achieve our material values, which are WORTH pursuing, because they are conducive to our own happiness.
Economics which rely on the methods of natural sciences to gain knowledge fail the "smell test." The conclusions of inductive economics are virtually always unrealistic, uncertain and undependable. In other words, they are all but useless in theoretical economics, in which I am most interested.
Again, there is inductive economics and there is "inductive" economics.
In my opinion, Mises greatest insight was: Absolute subjectivisim in method. This removes objective value from economic discussion...
By "objective value," you mean "intrinsic value" in the Objectivist terminology
...and allows economics to be raised to the level of a true "objective" and "non-normative" science.
Give me a break! When will you learn that objectivity is not incompatible with normative science!
Of course, you do not believe any of this which makes discussion fruitless. As best I can tell, you believe "value" trumps and guides all notions of human choice.
YES!!! Your choices are BASED ON your value judgments! Even von Mises acknowledges that.
You don't believe in objective ethical values...
WHAT?!? I don't believe in OBJECTIVE ethical values??? You've got to be kidding! Where have you been throughout this entire discussion, in which I've quoted from Rand's "The Objectivist Ethics," in support of my views?? Are you paying attention to anything I say?!?
...but you do believe in metaphysical values which pretty much agree down the line with Ayn Rand's notion of the appropriate values for man qua man. Your quaint (at least in my judgment) notions with regard to metaphysical value color all your thinking.
Spare me the sarcasm!
While you're not a strict determinist, you believe metaphysical values shape and delimit human choices.
First of all, I don't know what you mean by "metaphysical values." I've never used that term. But I gather that you mean biologically based values -- values based on man's nature as certain kind of living organism. I.e., it is man's nature, not his whims, that determines what will make him happy. Secondly, contrary to your characterization, I AM a strict determinist, because I hold that a person's value-judgments determine his choices. But I DON'T hold that "metaphysical" values (your term for the objective conditions required for human happiness) shape and delimit human choices. Man can make irrational, self-destructive choices -- choices that sabotage his own happiness. The objective requirements for human happiness do NOT determine his choices.
So far as man makes choices in line with this ultimate value, he is happy.
Not necessarily. Sometimes a person can fail to achieve happiness due to events outside his control, despite making rational choices -- choices whose purpose is the achievement of his own happiness.
So far as he doesn't, he isn't and cannot be happy.
Well, he cannot be as happy as he otherwise would, all other things being equal.
Obviously, your views directly contradict Mises' method of absolute subjectivism, thus your vehement opinion that economics (not to mention ethics) should be (and is) normative. (If I'm wrong about any of this, I'm sure you'll straighten me out.)
I disagree with Mises' view that one's own happiness does not depend on the satisfaction of certain objective conditions of human life -- a view which, as I've pointed out in previous posts, even Mises doesn't advocate consistently.

I wrote: "I didn't use the term 'mechanistic.' I do not believe that man's behavior is mechanistic; I believe that it is purposive. However, I don't see any contradiction in saying that purposive behavior is determined by one's value judgments. Nor do I see any contradiction in saying that it can be predicted within certain reasonable limits. We make predictions about people's behavior all the time based on our knowledge of their values and goals."
Well, for the record, you did use the term "mechanistic," but not in reference to human action.
Yes, I didn't use it the way that you said I did!
In Post #230 you changed my original posit to: "What I think you're asking is, do I agree that non-human action occurs with mechanistic regularity and is therefore determined and predictable, whereas human action is not?" I think it is only fair that I get to use your terms in trying to prove your thesis is mistaken.
Fine, but I didn't say that human action was determined with mechanistic regularity, so you misrepresented my position.
I do see a contradiction in saying that "that purposive behavior is determined by one's value judgments" if by "value judgments" you mean a metaphysical or motive essence that predetermines particular outcomes of human action.
I didn't mean that it determines particular outcomes of human action; I simply meant that it determines one's choices -- the object of one's actions.
Mises did not believe that. Neither do I. Purposive behavior is determined by man's conscious decision to strive after particular goals or ends (particular "values" considered in a general sense, if you will).
Yes, and what determines that decision? -- his value judgments!
Given the context of the above paragraph, surely you can understand why I see it is irrelevant (if not contradictory) to say that human action "can be predicted within certain reasonable limits." Specific predictions of the observable outcomes of particular human actions in an actual "real world" setting is not within the province of subjective economics.
You mean subjective economics can't say that price controls create shortages and surpluses? Surely, these are observable outcomes of particular human actions in a real world setting. Remember the long lines at the pump during the price controls on gas and oil in the 1970's during the Nixon and Carter Administrations, which were the direct, observable outcome of those policies?
It is within the province of economic history and/or psychology. I would say (and Mises would probably agree) that subjective economics is a science of means. It deductively concludes economic principles from the premise of purposive behavior with absolute certainty. It's method is entirely rationalistic. Making use of strictly controlled thought experiments governed by the principle of ceteris paribus it concludes that certain means inexorably lead to certain ends.
But isn't that a form of prediction -- that certain means inexorably lead to certain ends? Given the means, you can predict the ends.
Because of the impossibility of establishing these strict conditions in the real world, trying to confirm or predict with certainty real world consequences of policies based on these economic principles is vain. The economic principles are, nevertheless, true.
You can't predict the real-world consequences with absolute precision, but you can predict, for example, that a minimum-wage law will cause unemployment to be greater than it would have been had the law not been passed.
In Post #226 I described an econometrician using the methods of the physical sciences -- inductive research -- to test the validity of his theory that minimum wage laws cause unemployment. I concluded: In short, his methods are bogus and cannot be saved by any amount of tampering with the data or by any new means of more precise analysis, viz., the computer. In Post #228 you responded:
The problem here is not that he is using induction, but that he is using it improperly. A proper application of induction would already have shown that a minimum-wage law causes employment, not because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it was before the law was passed or raised, but because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it otherwise would have been had the law not been passed or raised. In other words, a minimum-wage law reduces the demand for labor ceteris paribus. No amount of statistical shenanigans from academic frauds like Card and Krueger (see their book Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum-Wage) can alter that fact. At higher wages rates, employers have less funds available for employment; hence their demand for labor must be less than it otherwise would be.
Here is the evidence for our arguing at "cross purposes." You argue that my econometrician used the inductive method "improperly." I assume you mean that the parameters of his research were flawed and that the subject variables were not isolated. With proper parameters and variable isolation you imply this econometrician would have produced the correct conclusion: "a minimum-wage law causes employment, not because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it was before the law was passed or raised, but because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it otherwise would have been had the law not been passed or raised."
No, that's not what I'm saying. I'm not saying that he used econometrics improperly; I'm saying that he used induction improperly. You still don't understand what induction is. Induction is not simply gathering statistics. It is any form of reasoning based on observation of the real world. Econometrics is inapplicable to an evaluation of the effects of a minimum-wage law, because, as a form of induction, it isn't fundamental enough. All it does is measure what happens after a given policy, like a minimum-wage law, is implemented. By its nature, it is incapable of isolating all the variables. It does not show what would have happened if the minimum-wage laws had not been implemented.
I submit there are only two ways you could be certain of the truth of the economic principle under discussion: 1) You learned it by conducting (or studying the results of) economic inductive research; or 2) You learned it by conducting (or studying the results of) economic deductive ratiocination. However, if you learned it by means of inductive research your knowledge couldn't be certain because some research (Card and Krueger) falsifies the theory (no matter how flawed you think that research is). [We have not even considered whether perfectly controlled parameters and perfectly isolated variables are even possible in real world economic experiments!]
They're not possible. You and I evidently disagree on the meaning of induction. You hold that the principle that minimum-wage laws cause unemployment is strictly deductive, whereas I hold that it is both inductive and deductive: inductive in the sense that it was arrived at by observing human action in an economic context and then formulating a general principle -- the principle that price floors cause surpluses; deductive in the sense that that this principle can then be applied to a particular case, like a minimum-wage law or a farm price support in order to deduce the economic consequences -- a surplus of labor or of farm products.

I wrote: "I'm still interested in your responses to my two previous posts, which you said you would reply to, and also what you think of Peikoff's "Analytic-Synthetic Dichotomy" article, because it's relevant to several of the issues we've been discussing."
I've partially responded above. Do you really believe hashing out the nuances of the analytic/synthetic dichotomy would reconcile our differences demonstrated above?
I think that if you read Peikoff's article, which I gather you haven't, you would understand a lot better where I'm coming from. You can't expect to argue meaningfully with Objectivists, if you don't have a basic familiarity with the core principles of their philosophy.

- Bill

Post 238

Saturday, December 15, 2007 - 4:19pmSanction this postReply
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Bill,

I've been following with interest your dialogue with Sherman, and roughly siding with you. But, with respect, I think you're being a little unfair with your final comment. It's not incumbent on Sherman to study Objectivism at all before engaging in meaningful debate with an Objectivist.

If you think the Analytic/Synthetic dichotomy, and Peikoff's take on it, is relevant, you can outline them -- and from memory, I'd bet. Whether Sherman would be interested is, of course, a question only he could answer. (Not, would be my guess based on his previous post.)



Post 239

Saturday, December 15, 2007 - 5:59pmSanction this postReply
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Bill,

In Post #228 you wrote:
A proper application of induction would already have shown that a minimum-wage law causes employment, not because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it was before the law was passed or raised, but because it reduces the quantity of labor demanded below what it otherwise would have been had the law not been passed or raised. In other words, a minimum-wage law reduces the demand for labor ceteris paribus. No amount of statistical shenanigans from academic frauds like Card and Krueger (see their book Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum-Wage) can alter that fact. At higher wages rates, employers have less funds available for employment; hence their demand for labor must be less than it otherwise would be.

In Post #237 you wrote:
You still don't understand what induction is. Induction is not simply gathering statistics. It is any form of reasoning based on observation of the real world. Econometrics is inapplicable to an evaluation of the effects of a minimum-wage law, because, as a form of induction, it isn't fundamental enough. All it does is measure what happens after a given policy, like a minimum-wage law, is implemented. By its nature, it is incapable of isolating all the variables. It does not show what would have happened if the minimum-wage laws had not been implemented.

In Post #228 you wrote:
But the purpose of induction isn’t simply to discover mechanical regularities. You're assuming that induction in the physical sciences must yield the same results as induction in the social sciences, but that’s not true. What induction in the social sciences tells us is that human beings choose their actions based on their cultural and philosophical values. So if you want to know how people will act, you need to know how they think, and if you want to change their actions, you need to change their values.

Moreover, induction in economic science also tells us that, with very few exceptions, people try to get the best deal they can for their money. So a seller will typically want to receive the highest price that he can for his product, and a buyer to pay the lowest price. Even the idea that people's actions are goal-directed is arrived at inductively rather than deductively.

In Post #237 you wrote:
You and I evidently disagree on the meaning of induction. You hold that the principle that minimum-wage laws cause unemployment is strictly deductive, whereas I hold that it is both inductive and deductive: inductive in the sense that it was arrived at by observing human action in an economic context and then formulating a general principle -- the principle that price floors cause surpluses; deductive in the sense that that this principle can then be applied to a particular case, like a minimum-wage law or a farm price support in order to deduce the economic consequences -- a surplus of labor or of farm products.

You're right. I'm baffled.

Apparently, by your understanding, economic induction is simply "observing human action in an economic context and...formulating a general principle."

Hmmm.  You admit econometrics isn't up to the task of evaluating "the effects of a minimum-wage law, because, as a form of induction, it isn't fundamental enough...By its nature, it is incapable of isolating all the variables. It does not show what would have happened if the minimum-wage laws had not been implemented.
 
Well then, kindly describe a form of induction that is fundamental enough so that it is capable of isolating all the variables and it does show what would have happened if the minimum-wage laws had not been implemented. I don't think you can do it. Even though you clearly state in the first quote above from Post #228 that a "proper application of induction would already have shown that a minimum-wage law causes employment...," I don't think you can describe such a "proper application of induction." I am especially curious about how you isolate all variables in your fundamental inductive process and how, by studying reality, you are able to induce that which would have happened from that which didn't happen!

In Post #237 you failed to respond to this paragraph of questions, which I wrote in Post #235:
The question is: How do you know this? How can you know prior to the econometrician's research what the correct conclusion of that research must be? Or what the correct parameters of his research must be? Or if such parameters are even possible to achieve in the real world? How do you know with certainty that "Card and Krueger" are "academic frauds" who engage in "statistical shenanigans?" Why throw out the results of their empirical research and accept the results of econometricians whose findings correspond to the findings you think are correct? Indeed, how do you know prior to any empirical research at all that "a minimum-wage law reduce[s] the demand for labor ceteris paribus?"!!!!!! How do you know that the economic principle you quote is a "fact?"!!!!!!!

A curious omission, don't you think? I think the day you're able to describe the precise, most fundamental form of inductive reasoning that answers all these questions and my criteria above them, I'll be forced to eat my hat.

Regards,
Sherman

(Edited by Sherman Broder on 12/15, 6:02pm)


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