| | Daniel:
>Arguments that hard determinism gives rise to Boeing 757s and IBM Blue Gene/L supercomputers cannot be distinguished from the claims of the delusional! Sorry Nathan, but that's where you're wrong.
LOL I think not, but I await your explanation.
That is exactly what the hard determinist argument *is*.
LOL And your point would be...
Boeing 757s and IBM Blue Gene/Ls are no different from Beethoven's 5th, in that the the hard determinist argues that they can - in principle, if not currently in practice - be predicted from the physical and chemical actions inside the brain. All a hard determinist has to do to prove that claim is predict something more than the trivial, then, isn't it? Something like a Boeing 757.
But that's a claim that, like any delusional claim, will forever remain beyond the realm of the testable. How convenient.
Now a little story.
Mr. Determinist:
'Volition is impossible. All things which feel like volition have antecedent causes and are not actually the result of genuinely free will. It just feels that way. You have will, a desire, but you don't actually have a choice in what you desire.
'Everything which seems to be an invention of the human mind is actually inevitable.
'Boeing 747s, for example, were inevitable, and we could have predicted them if only we knew a) the state of a large portion of the universe at a particular moment, b) all the forces at work in that large region of the universe, and c) all the effects those forces could have on that large portion of the universe.
'In other words, in October of the year 1004 we could have predicted EVERYTHING about the last Boeing 757 to roll off the assembly line, every part, every wire, every computer chip, millions of parts, ONE THOUSAND YEARS LATER in 2004.
'Of course, this is a little difficult to demonstrate, because the number of facts we would have needed to know is approximately 10 to the power of 4.57 followed by 1,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 zeroes.
Give or take a quadrillion zeroes. And in 1004 four we only knew 8 facts, just a little shy of the requirement.
'What? What's that you say? You say that even if we knew all these things it wouldn't help, because many things are not predictable from their initial states?
'Well, if that's true, then volition is not a causal thing, it's just randomness.'
Mr. Hawking:
'I start with the evidence of my experiences. It certainly FEELS like I can make choices. I don't actually have any reason to doubt it.
'Some philosophers tell me there IS reason to doubt my naive sense of volition, that cause and effect, antecedent causes, determine everything I've done and ever will do.
I ask myself: What is the more likely explanation: that I do not actually make the choices I seem to be making, or that their view of causality is flawed?
'I think it vastly more probable that determinists do not understand causality. They cannot actually predict anything of consequence for which the more overwhelmingly likely explanation is volition, such as Boeing 757s. 'If we only knew enough things, we could!' is a very hollow claim.
'What experiments would I devise to prove that my choices are volition and not the chiming of a clockwork mechanism? What kind of event or result would clearly be the result of volition and beyond the claim of 'inevitable consequence'?
'As it happens, I have devised just such an irrefutable test, but it is too complicated to fit into the margin of this page. Besides, I CHOOSE not to tell you what it is.' NH
Daniel, there's not a lot of deep philosophy in there (or... IS there?), but I enjoyed writing it. And the thrust of my simple-minded patter has as much substance as the determinist position, when all the verbiage is stripped away.
Perhaps I'll wax a bit more technical on another occasion.
Tell me: what literature is your particular influence in the field of the mind/body problem? Mine is obviously Popper (for example, his enormous collaboration with famous neurologist Sir John Eccles, "The Self And Its Brain") and things like Roger Penrose's "Shadows Of The Mind" (where Penrose significantly improves on his much criticised arguments in "The Emperor's New Mind"). Laj is clearly a Dennett man ("Consciousness Explained") which I have not yet read. It's a vast field - what things have pushed you in your current direction? I can't point to anything which has particularly influenced my thinking. I usually decide what I think first, mostly, then see what others have to say about the subjects.
Nathan Hawking
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