| | At this point, I'd like to introduce something called "the Principle of Least Destruction."
Some folks claim that you can't rationally defend any given level of arms inside of an arms race -- citing the fact that opponents can keep doubling and redoubling their firepower. This way of looking at it lets the (opponent's) firepower dictate the level of firepower (that you amass). It is based on psychology (on feeling threatened), rather than on the actual threat. Another way to look at the issue is to let the target dictate the firepower.
Let's say there was a game that, if played with minimal investment, led to a net loss and -- if played with maximal investment -- also led to a net loss. This game might even resemble the free market. Forget the game, let's play the market. Let's say that you enter the mouse-trap making market. Now, you could invest a little, but you probably won't go far. Alternatively, you could invest everything you have got into building mouse-traps too sophisticated for the problem and lose everything (due to the high cost of your inappropriately-extravagant mouse-traps).
But if you invest just the right amount, you'll win market share. You will have made a better mouse-trap without wildly increased costs.
In determining the optimal level of investment, you have to ask yourself: "What am I trying to do with a mouse-trap?" "What do people use them for?" "Would a strategically-placed Howitzer kill a mouse more efficiently?" What you arrive at is at a principle of least cost. You, if you are good, you find out how to do the same job at the least cost. Now, there is a best way to do it. This is because mice have a nature.
If mice were changlings -- if they altered their nature in response to experience with a mouse-trap (such as retracted their tails into their bodies in response to a single experience with one getting caught in a mouse-trap) -- then you wouldn't have a principle on which to build better mouse-traps. Instead, you would be stuck inside a perpetual (arms-race) dynamic with the mice. But mice can't change their nature, so there is one best way to deal with them. One best kind of mouse-trap.
Now, I'm not saying that humans are like mice, but the principle is the same. Once you know what you are trying to protect against, then you know what level of investment you will need. Things change slowly (with technology), so while you do not know the best level of weaponry to protect a public in the 22nd Century (e.g., Howitzers?) -- you do know the best level of protection in your own lifetime.
The target moves over time, but it moves slowly enough for the public to respond. In 1776, muzzle-loaded muskets were all that the public needed to prevent tyranny. Today, muzzle-loaded muskets would not be good enough. But M-16's with 40mm grenade launchers, coupled with some stinger missles, would be enough. It's not a subjective (personal preference) issue. You may personally feel safer with a Howitzer planted in your front yard, but "personal (subjective) feelings" are not what should dictate the optimal level of weaponry for citizens.
The objective target, complete with its own nature, is what dictates the optimal level of citizen-armament. Just like in a market, where there is an "objective market value" -- even though that market value slowly changes with time. The fact that it changes doesn't make it subjective (personally preferred).
Ed
(Edited by Ed Thompson on 1/17, 2:27pm)
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