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Post 20

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 1:37amSanction this postReply
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But Badnarik is a Saddamite. That immediately removes him from contention, in my view, to be filed under 'M' for "Maggot."

Interesting. Where, then, would you rank Bush, whose administration actually funded the Taleban? When the choice is between a man who only stopped supporting the Taleban when it ceased being politcally expedient to do so, and a man who doesn't think the war in Iraq is justified, I know who I'd vote for!
At the same time, the perilous imperatives of the moment demand that all liberty-loving people get in behind the War on Terror. That means voting for Bush, even if some measure of nose-holding is required.

Too much nose-holding for my liking. Surely, surely all of Bush's many faults add up to a worse choice than Badnarik, even if he were wrong about Iraq? Does his position on the war in Iraq override & undo all the other policies in which he stands head & shoulders above Bush?

notwithstanding the barking-mad Peikoff's utterly contemptible decision to vote for Kerry.

We're in complete agreement there! His decision to vote for Kerry is just sickening.

Post 21

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 2:14amSanction this postReply
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Duncan argued, "Too much nose-holding for my liking. Surely, surely all of Bush's many faults add up to a worse choice than Badnarik, even if he were wrong about Iraq? Does his position on the war in Iraq override & undo all the other policies in which he stands head & shoulders above Bush?"

Yes!

If Badanarik's Saddamism were to prevail, we would not have the luxury of these debates, & Badnarik most assuredly would not have the freedom to advocate his "other policies."

Oh, & the US funded the Taleban way before Dubya, to help get rid of the Soviets. Realpolitik. But as I've argued many times, you can't let dubious decisions in the past paralyse you in the present.

Linz




(Edited by Lindsay Perigo on 9/01, 2:15am)


Post 22

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 2:26amSanction this postReply
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Well I see my article mentioned in post 10 is now up on the front page, giving you a whole bunch of other reasons why the Right is generally a better choice than the Left (and I say this as someone who thinks Bush got it wrong over Iraq).

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Post 23

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 2:27amSanction this postReply
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Bush inherited the best economy in the history of the United States. By spending like a drunken sailor and cutting taxes like a mindless ideologue, he wantonly, mercilessly, single-handedly GUTTED the entire economy

He most certainly did not inherit a good economy.  Quite the opposite in fact.  What he inherited was an economy propped up by a price bubble fed by the drunken excesses of the Fed.  Bush was elected in December 2000.  The bubble began to burst from around March 2001.  It had nothing to do with the change in government.

That said, the Govt deficit spending has certainly damaged the economy further.  However, the tax cut plans preceded 9/11, and were in fact a Republican platform for the 2000 election.  To that extent they were unambiguously a positive step (although I understand that in practice the tax cuts were something of a mixed bag).  When combined with the spending increases, the tax cuts are very likely to have worsened the budget deficit, but that just means that that particular devil will have to be faced down later.  That’s an argument against govt spending, not tax cuts.




Post 24

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 5:10amSanction this postReply
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I fully agree that Giuliani's prosecution of Michael Milken was a disgrace. I think that if he were President, we would be in a position similar to our position with Bush: we would have a leader some of whose policies were questionable at best, but who was superb at leading the country in time of war. And so long as I think that Muslim fascism is the great threat that faces us, I will vote for the latter kind of leader.

Barbara

(I posted this to Chris S.' article on Giuliani, but I think it belongs here as well.)


Post 25

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 6:25amSanction this postReply
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Wow! Arnies speech was more awe inspiring than Giuliani's!!! From reading (but not actually hearing the two speeches) I think Schwarzenegger actually outdid him!!! Anyone that hasn't already read it, here is a link.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/3617130.stm


Post 26

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 12:49pmSanction this postReply
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Oh, & the US funded the Taleban way before Dubya, to help get rid of the Soviets. Realpolitik. But as I've argued many times, you can't let dubious decisions in the past paralyse you in the present.
Agreed there, also. Bush's post-9/11 decision to attack the Taleban & invade Afghanistan was exactly the right decision, made swiftly & with conviction - and I can't imagine either Gore or Kerry doing likewise.

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Post 27

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 9:31amSanction this postReply
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While Arnie had seen Communist with his own eyes, I'd been raised by the Communist ideology until my late teens and only came to US in my 20s.  As a recently naturalized US citizen (in 2001 before 9/11), my own sentiments fully echo those in Arnies' speech. 

Post 28

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 12:40pmSanction this postReply
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The baffling and depraved support of libertarians and Objectivists for conservatism continues apace. This evil nonsense began with Ayn Rand more than 50 years ago, and shows no sign of abating. Maybe the LP, ARI, TOC, and SOLO should get together and issue a strong joint statement of endorsement for George Bush!

Okay, that was a low blow. ;-) Still, the political allegiances of high-quality libertarian and Objectivist thinkers is a never-ending mystery for me. They seem blind to the Big Picture -- or even simple common sense. Ayn Rand might call them (brace yourself) "concrete-bound" and "range-of-the-moment."

On June 3rd at his DIM talks ;-), Leonard Peikoff heavily denounced Bush for his religious "fundamentalism." On August 11th in SOLOHQ, Chris Sciabarra heavily denounced Bush for his religious "pietism." That two such different and formidable Objectivst thinkers should come out so powerfully against Bush has got to tell you something! 

Listening to most of these L/O guys, it's as if the last 12 years never actually happened. (Or even the last 80, for students of economics.) But thank god William Jefferson Clinton was elected in 1992 and 1996 and not some dismal version of Bush Sr. or Bush Jr. Clinton cut the size of government significantly(relative to percent of GDP -- the only measure that counts), reduced the deficit radically and gloriously, promoted and passed GATT and NAFTA, etc. His tacit libertarianism is on high display for all to see. At least -- for those who want to, and don't have on ideological blinders, and don't spout econo-babble. And Kerry will probably be similar to Clinton.

Under the Bush boys, the size and future commitments of the federal government noticeably increased, while the deficit went thru the roof. Bush Jr., among other things, passed nasty steel subsidies and unprecedentedly bloated farm supports while supporting pork generally and pandering to the geriatrics by socializing prescription drugs (which the seniors don't even like!).

Along with all the other qualities and well-deserved-insults listed in Post 8, John Kerry is -- ultimately -- a well-educated, hard-working, rational-thinking, normal type of guy. Bush is an ignorant, lazy, superstitious, quasi-looney-tune! 

(Edited by Andre Zantonavitch on 9/01, 2:10pm)


Post 29

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 2:11pmSanction this postReply
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Do I see a consensus building for Arnie in '08?
ARNIE! ARNIE! ARNIE!
(who wants to start a movement to fix the law about having to be born in the U.S. to be President?)

Post 30

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 2:52pmSanction this postReply
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Lindsay said:
I'm glad to hear that Tracinski, at least, among the ARI, is voting Bush, notwithstanding the barking-mad Peikoff's utterly contemptible decision to vote for Kerry.

I haven't been up to date for a little bit, so what is this about Peikoff voting for Kerry?


Post 31

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 3:50pmSanction this postReply
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I haven't been up to date for a little bit, so what is this about Peikoff voting for Kerry?
Basically, Peikoff has lost what few marbles he once had, and as he states in this statement is planning on voting for Kerry in the upcoming election. It'll be interesting to hear that statement in a few years time, if the ARI deems Kerry a 'non-person' & edits out all references to him :-)

Post 32

Wednesday, September 1, 2004 - 7:16pmSanction this postReply
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Clinton cut the size of government significantly(relative to percent of GDP -- the only measure that counts), reduced the deficit radically and gloriously, promoted and passed GATT and NAFTA, etc. His tacit libertarianism is on high display for all to see.

Talking of blinkers, that’s an extremely generous view of Clinton. Clinton reduced the deficit by (a) cutting the defence budget (which might be interpreted as good or bad), and (b) not increasing spending too much at a time when the economy was growing, when the tax take naturally increases. To the extent that this was a conscious step by Clinton, good - but as I understand it he was actually constrained from making spending increases by the fact that Congress was controlled by the Republicans for most of his term in office.

As for his support for GATT & NAFTA, again good. And conversely for Bush, steel subsidies etc = bad. But no one has said that everything Bush has done is good. In my case, all I said was that its not a true statement that everything was rosy until Bush came along and ruined everything. But then I’m just a “student of economics spouting econo-babble”, so what would I know! J



Post 33

Thursday, September 2, 2004 - 11:46amSanction this postReply
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Andre,

Contrary to media-propagated opinion, Clinton did not reduce the size of government. He did, however - through many varied, yet insidiously synergistic ways - reduce the magnification of our lens of observation.

Viewed through the new Clintonesque lens, government did indeed "appear" smaller than before. But this was a grand scheme of smoke and mirrors and we should all start waking up from this Vegas-remniscient magic show [caution: objects seen through this lens are larger than they appear!].

Clinton was perhaps the most clever and cunning president this nation has ever known. But this fact alone does not make his past presidential terms objectively valuable - at least not in any objectively-measurable, identifiable way.

Clinton was the Harry Houdini of presidents, the Sigfreid and Roy of economics, and the Pen and Teller of expediency - but he was no modern-day Thomas Jefferson; not even by a long-shot.

Ed

Post 34

Thursday, September 2, 2004 - 8:18pmSanction this postReply
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Clinton cut the size of government significantly(relative to percent of GDP -- the only measure that counts)
Is it - or is it not - true that (by 1996), government was spending 33 cents of every dollar of the GDP?  Was government spending this third of the GDP, or weren't they? 

Were there, or were there not, unprecedented "peace-time" tax increases in the 1990s?

 reduced the deficit radically and gloriously
Did we, or did we not , create over half of all our federal debt - in the 1990s?

Was our inflation rate, or was it not, higher than the average OECD rate - in the 1990s?


Anyone can respond, and please do.  I just need to straighten these things out in my head - so that I can see if I'm really "on to something" here with this "Clinton was a liar" epiphany of mine.  Hell, I could write a book called "His Life" - or something like that!


Post 35

Friday, September 3, 2004 - 2:18amSanction this postReply
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Is it - or is it not - true that (by 1996), government was spending 33 cents of every dollar of the GDP?  Was government spending this third of the GDP, or weren't they?
Spending as % of GDP:

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

36.9

36.7

35.9

35.7

36.6

37.4

38.1

37.5

36.6

36.5

36.1

34.9

34.2

33.8

33.7

34.6

35.3

35.7

35.2

35.2



Were there, or were there not, unprecedented "peace-time" tax increases in the 1990s?
Govt tax and non-tax receipts as % of GDP:

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

31.7

32.4

32.3

32.5

32.4

32.5

32.3

32.6

33.0

33.4

33.9

34.2

34.6

34.7

35.3

34.5

32.0

30.9

30.6

31.4



Did we, or did we not , create over half of all our federal debt - in the 1990s?

Govt surplus (deficit) as % of GDP:

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

-5.2

-4.3

-3.6

-3.2

-4.2

-4.9

-5.8

-4.9

-3.6

-3.1

-2.2

-0.8

0.4

0.9

1.6

-0.2

-3.3

-4.8

-4.7

-3.9



Was our inflation rate, or was it not, higher than the average OECD rate - in the 1990s?

Inflation (consumer price index) % growth:

 

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

US

4.6

3.6

2.9

2.3

2.1

2.1

2.2

1.7

0.9

1.7

2.5

2.0

1.4

1.8

1.9

1.4

OECD

4.6 

5.0 

4.6 

4.0 

3.2 

2.9 

2.4 

1.7 

1.2 

1.2 

2.1 

2.4 

2.3 

2.1 

1.7 

1.4 




Source: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/5/51/2483816.xls

and http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/5/47/2483871.xls


Post 36

Friday, September 3, 2004 - 9:36amSanction this postReply
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Tim, I fear that we are going to get into a battle-of-the-numbers, and it could get bloody! The alternative however (to through our hands up in the air and let gov't tell us what to think), is the greater of 2 evils. So, "here goes!" my fellow gladiator, have at you!:

As you may already know, Slick Will revised the methods for calculating CPI - and he did so in a manner making it appear like less statism is occurring in the US. Other countries however, kept the same calculations, which has the effect of making the US appear less statist than the average OECD country.

The noted drop in US inflation (below) may merely be an artifact of "Clintonesque calcumalations" (my new term for his old tricks). Even with the noted drop, however, our failure to be in the top-10 reveals greater-than-average statism in the US:

Inflation Rates
from
http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/2003/765/ifdp765.pdf

.......................1990-1994..........1995-2001............Change

Austria................3.41......................1.64....................-1.77

Belgium...............2.70......................1.79....................-0.92

Canada...............2.52......................1.80....................-0.72

Finland................2.85......................1.58....................-1.27

France................2.42......................1.34....................-1.08

Germany.............3.27......................1.49....................-1.78

Japan..................1.77......................0.09....................-1.68

Netherlands.........2.91.....................2.49.....................-0.41

New Zealand.......2.27.....................1.86.....................-0.42

Norway...............2.60.....................2.33.....................-0.27

Sweden...............5.41.....................1.02....................-4.39

Switzerland..........3.56.....................0.90....................-2.66

US.......................3.53.....................2.45....................-1.08
------------------------------------------------------
Foreign
(19-Country)
Median.................2.91.....................1.86....................-1.05

Post 37

Friday, September 3, 2004 - 12:09pmSanction this postReply
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I apologize to those who feel I'm hijacking this thread - but I have one more thing to bark about.

This last barking session is admittedly the least convicting of ole' Slick Will, but it hits a sore spot in most hearts.

Question:
By the end of Clinton's 2nd term, did we - or did we not - for the first time in this nation's history, finally reach a net, per-capita savings of $0.00?

In other words, the average amount in savings by Americans went to zero, zilch, nada. For every dollar someone had in a bank, there was someone in debt for a dollar - for the first time in national history.

No matter how you slice this bread, this does not seem (to me) to be a clue or sign of economic progress. In fact, word on the street has it that we are all, on average, worth less than a penny now - for the first time in the history of this nation.

Maybe, I'm merely losing perspective here. If so, would someone please help me out (provide a value judgment regarding the numbers I've been "crunching")?

I realize the crucial aspect of virtue in personal finance management, I just think that the cards have been stacked up against the individual (and that this immoral "stacking of cards" has increased by definite, measurable, identifiable amounts with every presidential term that followed Reagan's)

Thanks in advance for any input,
Ed

Post 38

Friday, September 3, 2004 - 4:42pmSanction this postReply
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Ed

I'm afraid I don't really have the time for an all-out battle! However if you want to put forward your thesis then I'll give it more than a once over if you like.

I'm not sure about Clinton restating the CPI measure. I know its restated all the time to update the bundle of goods included, but that's all.  However I do know that the GDP deflator measure of inflation shows the same general picture for the US as the CPI measure (its included in the second OECD spreadsheet I linked to).

But to be honest, I'm not really sure what you're getting at in any case. I wouldn't call the inflation rate the main measure of statism in the economy...???  And the predominant inflation experienced in recent years has been asset price inflation, not consumer goods, so what's the difference if the CPI is 1.5% or 2%?

But do carry on.  :-)


Post 39

Friday, September 3, 2004 - 6:51pmSanction this postReply
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Gentlemen
I love this stuff. I wish you both worked at my company. I might be making a profit. Actually, I have to go figure all this out, but thanks to both of you for this thread.

An important point about the Clinton years - they fall into three categories:

1) '93-'94- The shut-up-I'm-taking-over-Hillary years.
2)'95-'98- The Gingrich years ( one on the best thinkers and worst politicians we ever produced-responsible for the surpluses)
3) '99-2000 The Vagina Chronicles- 'nuff said.

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